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Should I ship a Strategy RPG Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Strategy RPG
Of 21 developers who shipped a Strategy RPG Trading Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×453 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 48 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) |
| Top 5% | $284k (exactly $284,462) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 64 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 38%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Strategy RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Strategy RPG; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Strategy, Card Game
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,382 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Aces & Adventures 2023 · $1.3M 
Dream of Corpse Lady 2026 · $634k 
Nowhere Prophet 2019 · $541k 
RUNGORE 2024 · $446k 
Rogue Voltage 2026 · $284k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Aces & Adventures | older | $19.99 | 2,220 89% | 67k | $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) | Triple.B.Titles |
| | Dream of Corpse Lady | $9.99 | 2,115 93% | 63k | $634k (exactly $633,866) | HT3 Studio | |
| | Nowhere Prophet | older | $24.99 | 721 77% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Sharkbomb Studios |
| | RUNGORE | older | $14.99 | 991 85% | 30k | $446k (exactly $445,653) | YOUR_MOM'S_HP, RavenJm |
| | Rogue Voltage | $15.99 | 593 92% | 18k | $284k (exactly $284,462) | Horizont Computergrafik | |
 | Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers | $9.99 | 543 65% | 16k | $163k (exactly $162,737) | Dino Rocket | |
 | Helmetman | · EA older | $19.99 | 136 79% | 4.1k | $82k (exactly $81,559) | GoniNmimi Games |
 | The Amazing American Circus | older | $14.99 | 138 61% | 4.1k | $62k (exactly $62,059) | Klabater, Juggler Games |
 | XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ | older | $10.99 | 112 75% | 3.4k | $37k (exactly $36,926) | IMaiIna_, INA |
 | Desert Revenant | · EA older | $14.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $12k (exactly $11,692) | Kreationware |
 | Soul•Apocalypto | $11.99 | 20 80% | 600 | $7.2k (exactly $7,194) | 卜乙冈(Ploygon) | |
 | Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator | $6.99 | 34 61% | 1.0k | $7.1k (exactly $7,130) | Violet Soft | |
 | Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection | $6.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) | Violet Soft | |
 | Treasure Atlas | · EA | $11.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) | zzeerr |
 | Mind of War | · EA | $10.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | Pi Video games |
 | CyCall | · EA | $12.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $3.1k (exactly $3,118) | PzGames |
 | Card Streamer Simulator | $2.99 | 17 52% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | Scissors Game |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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