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Should I ship a Wrestling Sports game?
Sports + Wrestling
Only 19 developers shipped a Wrestling Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WWE 2K25, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×7.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $7.3M, ×11773 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 33 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $598 (exactly $598) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,790) |
| Top 5% | $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 74 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Wrestling; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Character Customization, Sandbox
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 68% positive over 7,083 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
WWE 2K25 2025 · $7.4M 
WWE 2K26 2026 · $4.9M 
Fire Pro Wrestling World 2017 · $2.8M 
Wrestling Empire 2021 · $1.8M 
AEW: Fight Forever 2023 · $1.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | WWE 2K25 | $59.99 | 4,108 73% | 123k | $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) | Visual Concepts | |
| | WWE 2K26 | $69.99 | 2,310 56% | 69k | $4.9M (exactly $4,850,307) | Visual Concepts | |
| | Fire Pro Wrestling World | older | $29.99 | 3,124 91% | 94k | $2.8M (exactly $2,810,663) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. |
| | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
| | AEW: Fight Forever | older | $39.99 | 1,343 59% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) | YUKE'S |
 | Pro Wrestling Sim | · EA older | $19.99 | 662 97% | 20k | $397k (exactly $397,001) | Pro Wrestling Sim |
 | RetroMania Wrestling | older | $19.99 | 243 80% | 7.3k | $146k (exactly $145,727) | Retrosoft Studios |
 | Wrestling Revolution 3D | older | $9.99 | 397 87% | 12k | $119k (exactly $118,981) | MDickie |
 | Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One | $13.99 | 201 90% | 6.0k | $84k (exactly $84,360) | SeanchaiStudios | |
 | Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ | $14.99 | 174 71% | 5.2k | $78k (exactly $78,248) | Lewd Star | |
 | Pro Wrestler Story | $8.99 | 109 49% | 3.3k | $29k (exactly $29,397) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd | |
 | All Your Wrestling Pro Manager | $19.99 | 33 81% | 990 | $20k (exactly $19,790) | All Your Games Studios | |
 | UnderGirl: Submission Path | $7.99 | 72 73% | 2.2k | $17k (exactly $17,258) | KadoDev | |
 | Uchi No Heya! | $9.99 | 39 100% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,688) | James West | |
 | Believr Pro Wrestling | · EA | $14.99 | 25 72% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | Believr Games |
 | SBcatfight game | $12.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | DoNyan |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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