Games › Sports › Sports + Underwater
Should I ship an Underwater Sports game?
Sports + Underwater
Only 10 developers shipped an Underwater Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cast n Chill, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $959 (exactly $959) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $110k (exactly $110,345) |
| Top 5% | $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.79 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Underwater
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports
- Price point
- $12.79 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 10,703 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Cast n Chill | $14.99 | 8,383 94% | 251k | $3.8M (exactly $3,769,835) | Wombat Brawler | |
| | Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2 | $19.99 | 2,077 66% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577) | Silent Bear Studio, SHINING GAMES | |
| | The Fisherman - Fishing Planet | older | $29.99 | 975 62% | 29k | $877k (exactly $877,208) | Fishing Planet LLC |
| | Real VR Fishing | $19.99 | 184 73% | 5.5k | $110k (exactly $110,345) | Devs United Games, Inc | |
| | Depth Hunter 2: Deep Dive | older | $9.99 | 199 74% | 6.0k | $60k (exactly $59,640) | Biart Company LLC |
| | Deep Diving Simulator | older | $19.99 | 98 62% | 2.9k | $59k (exactly $58,771) | Jujubee S.A. |
| | Fishing Sim World: Bass Pro Shops Edition | older | $39.99 | 48 79% | 1.4k | $58k (exactly $57,586) | Dovetail Games |
| | Fight Crab 2 | · EA older | $14.99 | 128 92% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Calappa Games |
| | Dolphin Spirit: Ocean Mission | older | $24.99 | 37 86% | 1.1k | $28k (exactly $27,739) | Magic Pockets |
| | Sea Bubble | older | $4.99 | 57 100% | 1.7k | $8.5k (exactly $8,533) | KST Studio |
| | Surf Sandbox | $4.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | nocanwin | |
| | B.o.W II VR | $19.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Triggerfish Games | |
| | Jet Rush | · EA | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Fresh Bread Games |
| | Reel it! World Fishing | $12.79 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,151) | SAT-BOX | |
| | Spearfishing Simulator | $7.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Riv3r | |
| | Reel it! Ocean Fishing | $11.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | SAT-BOX | |
| | Reel it! Fishing | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | SAT-BOX |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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