Games › Sports › Sports + Trading Card Game
Should I ship a Trading Card Game Sports game?
Sports + Trading Card Game
Only 8 developers shipped a Trading Card Game Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Out of the Park Baseball 27, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 25% | $60k (exactly $60,404) |
| Top 5% | $712k (exactly $712,358) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Trading Card Game
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 7 games average 84% positive over 642 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020 · $9.1M 
Out of the Park Baseball 27 2026 · $712k 
Barro 2018 · $487k 
Fishing Adventure 2019 · $221k 
Barro Racing 2020 · $187k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions | older | $59.99 | 5,072 73% | 152k | $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) | TAMSOFT CORPORATION |
| | Out of the Park Baseball 27 | $49.99 | 475 82% | 14k | $712k (exactly $712,358) | Out of the Park Developments | |
| | Barro | older | $4.99 | 3,253 85% | 98k | $487k (exactly $486,974) | SC Jogos |
| | Fishing Adventure | older | $4.99 | 1,479 85% | 44k | $221k (exactly $221,406) | MasterCode |
| | Barro Racing | older | $4.99 | 1,250 83% | 38k | $187k (exactly $187,125) | SC Jogos |
 | Sports Card Shop Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 155 92% | 4.7k | $60k (exactly $60,404) | OverPowered Team |
 | Mark Out! The Wrestling Card Game | older | $14.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,035) | DIY Experiences LLC |
 | Volleying | older | $1.99 | 358 70% | 11k | $21k (exactly $21,373) | Gestalt Development Studio |
 | Flow:The Sliding | older | $3.99 | 113 74% | 3.4k | $14k (exactly $13,526) | Cubamano |
 | Russian Prison Sport: OCHKO | older | $4.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $5.5k (exactly $5,539) | CSM |
 | Baduk Challenge (Go Challenge) | $10.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) | OH YU HWAN | |
 | Food Fight | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Recoil Mojo | |
 | Realms Cup | $3.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | Berraco | |
 | Battle Babes 3 | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Recoil Mojo | |
 | FootBall Card Battle | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Robi and Kriszti | |
 | 超能力麻将 | · EA | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | DINGWOKER |
 | Stadium | $16.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Madstages, Stadium Games | |
 | Forsaken | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Recoil Mojo |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.