Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Attack Sports game?

Sports + Time Attack

Only 12 developers shipped a Time Attack Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assetto Corsa Rally, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $480. Revenue is up 1250% on the market; 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1250% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $10k → $478 → $1.8k → $4.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $7.0k (exactly $7,036)
Top 5% $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 49
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1250% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Time Attack
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 8,977 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $7.0k, 1 in 20 over $7.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Trackmania United Forever older $29.99 2,488 94% 75k $2.2M (exactly $2,238,454) Nadeo
TrackMania² Stadium older $9.99 5,340 88% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) Nadeo
TrackMania² Canyon older $19.99 1,384 80% 42k $830k (exactly $829,985) Nadeo
Barro older $4.99 3,253 85% 98k $487k (exactly $486,974) SC Jogos
Barro F older $4.99 2,329 84% 70k $349k (exactly $348,651) SC Jogos
Barro 2020 older $4.99 1,932 84% 58k $289k (exactly $289,220) SC Jogos
TrackMania² Valley older $19.99 403 78% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Nadeo
Barro Racing older $4.99 1,250 83% 38k $187k (exactly $187,125) SC Jogos
STARWHAL older $11.99 496 92% 15k $178k (exactly $178,411) Breakfall
Barro F25 $4.99 117 86% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) SC Jogos
Barro 2026 $4.99 47 70% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Grishko Games
Supersonic Bridge Racing $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Stumi Games
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Animal Run Relay $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) youdoyou.motto
Smoots Crazy Wave $10.99 3 100% 90 $989 (exactly $989) Kaneda Games
Tired $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) EXHAUST3D
Driving Master D $1.99 8 87% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Cold9
AudioRace $6.99 2 0% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Associazione Audiogames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.