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Should I ship a Tactical RPG Sports game?
Sports + Tactical RPG
Only 15 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Smash it Wild: Tactical Volleyball Roguelike, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $38k, ×61 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,239) |
| Top 25% | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) |
| Top 5% | $38k (exactly $38,128) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 58 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Side Scroller
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 283 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward 2023 · $2.3M 
Rugby League Team Manager 3 2020 · $90k 
Dungeon Deathball 2021 · $69k 
Volley Court 2022 · $45k 
Smash it Wild: Tactical Volleyball Roguelike 2026 · $38k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Punch Club 2: Fast Forward | older | $19.99 | 3,808 81% | 114k | $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) | Lazy Bear Games |
| | Rugby League Team Manager 3 | older | $39.99 | 75 80% | 2.3k | $90k (exactly $89,978) | Alternative Software Ltd |
| | Dungeon Deathball | older | $11.99 | 193 95% | 5.8k | $69k (exactly $69,422) | Matt Glanville |
| | Volley Court | older | $5.99 | 251 88% | 7.5k | $45k (exactly $45,105) | Dopamine Dealer |
| | Smash it Wild: Tactical Volleyball Roguelike | $11.99 | 106 83% | 3.2k | $38k (exactly $38,128) | Goblinz Studio, Ernestine | |
 | Ganbare! Super Strikers | older | $9.99 | 85 85% | 2.6k | $25k (exactly $25,474) | rese |
 | Desert Special Forces | older | $19.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | Gamesforgames |
 | Just skill shooter 2 | older | $9.99 | 32 53% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | Gamesforgames |
 | Fight till the End! | older | $19.99 | 15 66% | 450 | $9.0k (exactly $8,996) | Gamesforgames |
 | Fox Golf | older | $19.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $9.0k (exactly $8,996) | Fox Games |
 | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR | |
 | Gridiron Masters '98 | · EA | $9.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Software98 |
 | The Great Axe | $19.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Gold Defence | $9.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Just Skill Shooter: Catacombs | $9.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames | |
 | PipeFlow | $9.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Sharkgame | |
 | Turn Based Boxing: Tactics - Legends Edition | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | The Slanted Room | |
 | Summoner's Automata | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Survalker | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Gamesforgames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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