Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival Horror Sports game?

Sports + Survival Horror

Only 5 developers shipped a Survival Horror Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, KUNKUN Defender 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 3 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 3 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Sports + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,081)
Top 5% $44k (exactly $44,012)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 27
Announced 3
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Survival Horror
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 12,639 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $960, 1 in 4 over $6.0k, 1 in 20 over $44k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 3 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
House of Detention older $0.99 8,413 91% 252k $250k (exactly $249,866) Aniki, Male Union ♂
Mister Furry: Hot Muscles older $0.99 2,576 92% 77k $77k (exactly $76,507) Red Six Development, Male Union
KUNKUN Defender 2 $4.99 294 94% 8.8k $44k (exactly $44,012) Seal
Wild Animal Sports Day older $4.99 264 92% 7.9k $40k (exactly $39,521) Paul Bird
V.L.A.D.i.K · EA older $0.99 517 53% 16k $15k (exactly $15,355) Narko Games
House of Lizards older $0.99 405 85% 12k $12k (exactly $12,028) Ancient Russ
Legendary Hunter VR older $9.99 38 73% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) LastnOni
69 Ways to Kill a Zombie older $4.99 70 64% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,479) Wadup Games
Love Room older $7.99 43 67% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) FoxPunch
Dracula: Vampires vs. Zombies older $14.99 19 84% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Avatarico
Grit Shot $6.99 29 75% 870 $6.1k (exactly $6,081) nithic
Spin to Survive $2.99 16 93% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Seal
Holiday Harry $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Samer Khatib (Snowconesolid Productions)
Ball & Gun · EA $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) NVZN Studios
Ski Yeet $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Real Proper Hard Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.