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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Sports game?
Sports + Choose Your Own Adventure
Of 38 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $720. Revenue is up 320% on the market; 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $718 (exactly $718) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 25% | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) |
| Top 5% | $36k (exactly $36,189) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 38 |
| Released games | 157 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 320% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Choose Your Own Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 519 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. Nearly all of the 44 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
OverDrift Festival 2022 · $331k 
Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One 2025 · $84k 
Hockey Manager 20|20 2020 · $46k 
BMX Bastards 2024 · EA · $36k 
Sex Gym 3D 2022 · $35k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | OverDrift Festival | older | $9.99 | 1,103 79% | 33k | $331k (exactly $330,569) | OverDrift Crew |
| | Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One | $13.99 | 201 90% | 6.0k | $84k (exactly $84,360) | SeanchaiStudios | |
| | Hockey Manager 20|20 | older | $19.99 | 76 61% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $45,577) | netmin games |
| | BMX Bastards | · EA | $16.99 | 71 85% | 2.1k | $36k (exactly $36,189) | CSF Games Studio |
| | Sex Gym 3D | older | $9.99 | 118 47% | 3.5k | $35k (exactly $35,365) | Pirates Of The Digital Sea |
 | Football Drama | older | $11.99 | 72 58% | 2.2k | $26k (exactly $25,898) | Open Lab Games, Demigiant |
 | The Tennis Master | older | $9.99 | 64 56% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $19,181) | Deep Games |
 | Primal Hearts 2 | $24.99 | 23 95% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | Marmalade | |
 | Rebounding Life - Season 1 | $12.99 | 44 79% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $17,147) | SuperWriter | |
 | Flying Tobacco Eggs | older | $39.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $16k (exactly $15,596) | Gamesforgames |
 | Hobby Horse | $14.99 | 29 89% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | Games Incubator | |
 | EmberStride | $29.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $11k (exactly $10,796) | Sharkgame | |
 | WorldDrive: Real Open-World Driving Simulator | · EA | $19.99 | 17 35% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | AJ Simulation & Engineering |
 | Regista: Reign Your Football Club | $4.99 | 68 67% | 2.0k | $10k (exactly $10,180) | dicehit | |
 | Gridiron Masters '98 | · EA | $9.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Software98 |
 | Empire Eleven 2026 | $9.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | NextStation Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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