Games › Swordplay › Swordplay + Space
Should I ship a Space Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Space
Only 7 developers shipped a Space Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Adventure of Samsara, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $478 (exactly $478) |
| Top 25% | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 5% | $40k (exactly $39,580) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 238,228 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019 · $184M 
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023 · $168M 
STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight II - Jedi Outcast™ 2009 · $1.2M 
Adventure of Samsara 2025 · $40k 
Proxy Blade Zero 2014 · $39k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ | older | $39.99 | 153,782 88% | 4.6M | $184M (exactly $184,492,265) | Respawn Entertainment |
| | STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ | older | $69.99 | 79,990 71% | 2.4M | $168M (exactly $167,955,003) | Respawn |
| | STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight II - Jedi Outcast™ | older | $9.99 | 4,048 91% | 121k | $1.2M (exactly $1,213,186) | Raven Software |
| | Adventure of Samsara | $19.99 | 66 89% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $39,580) | Ilex Games | |
| | Proxy Blade Zero | older | $9.99 | 131 76% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $39,261) | D6 |
 | Age of Gladiators II: Death League | older | $12.99 | 84 71% | 2.5k | $33k (exactly $32,735) | Creative Storm Entertainment |
 | Tower of Chaos | older | $14.99 | 35 74% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | Laughing Fox Games |
 | Bakemono - Demon Brigade Tenmen Unit 01 | · EA older | $19.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | SuperSane Games |
 | Stardust Vanguards | older | $3.99 | 58 82% | 1.7k | $6.9k (exactly $6,943) | Zanrai Interactive |
 | Space Roguelike Adventure | older | $4.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | Anti-Pattern Studio |
 | Tankiro | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Rmonak | |
 | One True Path - Part 1 | $1.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | InnerspaceVR | |
 | Geometry raid | $1.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $478 (exactly $478) | RoughStone | |
 | Odania Sports Arena | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Odania GmbH | |
 | Cyber Saber PRO | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | HatCatGames | |
 | Asteroids and Aliens | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Star 1 Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.