Do I ship it?

GamesTrading Card GameTrading Card Game + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Trading Card Game?

Trading Card Game + Solitaire

Of 21 developers who shipped a Solitaire Trading Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading Card Game + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $539 → $180 → $450 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trading Card Game + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 5% $5.4k (exactly $5,389)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 46
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Trading Card Game, Solitaire; all of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Card Game, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 197 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $5.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  2. + SandboxFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $10k · 26 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds16 devs · median $10k · 36 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds18 devs · median $10k · 21 announced
  7. + CollectathonPoor odds26 devs · median $6.3k · 41 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $6.1k · 25 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds11 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerPoor odds22 devs · median $3.4k · 27 announced
  11. + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 38 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $3.1k · 36 announced

All 69 pairs on the Trading Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sexy Jigsaw | 性感拼图 | 섹시 퍼즐 | セクシーなパズル older $3.99 215 83% 6.5k $26k (exactly $25,736) ZOV GAME STUDIO
It's time, Your Majesty $6.99 77 64% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) String studio
Zombie Solitaire 2 Chapter 2 older $8.99 57 85% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,373) rokaplay
Dreamy Duels ~ Tales of Heroes in Gensoukyo · EA older $7.99 26 65% 780 $6.2k (exactly $6,232) IGensoukyo
Happy Poker $4.99 36 80% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) VGameX
Kemotaku $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Kojika Games
BlackJack Math older $0.99 70 85% 2.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,079) Heavy Sheep
XIII - A Final Game of Tarot With Death $1.99 34 91% 1.0k $2.0k (exactly $2,030) Indigo Dreams
孑游列国 older $3.99 16 68% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Mystical95 Studio
Arcano: The Trickery older $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Jonathan Calsolaro
Battle Hanafuda · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) SUZUKI PLAN, Yoji Suzuki
Just a Little Purr suit $3.99 14 85% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wise Box Studios
Card Streamer Simulator $2.99 17 52% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Scissors Game
Choice Matters $5.99 3 66% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Nue Games
Battle Babes 3 $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Recoil Mojo
Fated All-In: Casino 5 Queens $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) TEAM OLDBOY_Levi

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.