Do I ship it?

Games › Sports › Sports + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Sports game?

Sports + Solitaire

Only 14 developers shipped a Solitaire Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pro Strategy Football 2026, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 5 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 5 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $239 → $479 → $4.5k → $1.2k (still earning) → $238 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,269)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,992)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 47
Announced 5
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Solitaire; all of the top 25% also carry Board Game, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.95 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.95 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 148 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mahjong World Contest (麻将) 2016 · $87k Mosaics Galore 2018 · $50k Solitaire Beach Season 2016 · $40k Pro Strategy Football 2023 2022 · $32k Pro Strategy Football 2022 2021 · $32k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
Mosaics Galore older $14.99 111 75% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) Creobit
Solitaire Beach Season older $14.99 88 76% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Creobit
Pro Strategy Football 2023 older $14.99 71 84% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2022 older $12.99 81 86% 2.4k $32k (exactly $31,566) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2024 older $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Kerry Batts
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
Gridiron Solitaire older $7.99 73 79% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) Bill and Eli Productions
Pro Strategy Football 2025 older $19.99 23 78% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) Kerry Batts
Game Pulse Payoff Pitch $49.95 9 66% 270 $13k (exactly $13,486) Fireside Experience
Board game party $2.99 50 80% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Willgw
Pro Strategy Football 2027 $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kerry Batts
Coloring Cats: Sports With Friends $1.99 38 97% 1.1k $2.3k (exactly $2,269) Mens Sana Interactive
Fish Box $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) DoXMo
Spikeball Smash $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) VRMonkey
乐吧斗地主 $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 乐吧娱乐
Tilting - A Noir Poker Career $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Low Light Games
Battle Babes 3 $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Recoil Mojo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.