Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Sports game?

Sports + Score Attack

Of 108 developers who shipped a Score Attack Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 113 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 64 developers shipped in the last year and 113 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 113 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 108
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $327 → $748 → $1.0k → $1.2k → $359 → $300 → $180 (still earning) → $119 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 108
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 5% $185k (exactly $185,176)
Developers, 2 yr 108
Released games 389
Announced 113
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Score Attack; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Physics
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 12,455 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 113 games are announced against 64 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
WRC 8 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 2,007 74% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) KT Racing
Superflight older $2.99 11,047 96% 331k $991k (exactly $990,916) GrizzlyGames
Zombie Driver HD older $9.99 2,770 84% 83k $830k (exactly $830,169) Exor Studios
Driftwood $19.99 1,197 92% 36k $718k (exactly $717,841) Stoked Sloth Interactive
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
Cursed to Golf older $19.99 693 70% 21k $416k (exactly $415,592) Chuhai Labs
pureya older $5.99 2,242 96% 67k $403k (exactly $402,887) Majorariatto
Pro Cycling Manager 2020 older $19.99 602 85% 18k $361k (exactly $361,019) Cyanide Studio
Fruit Ninja VR older $14.99 801 80% 24k $360k (exactly $360,210) Halfbrick Studios Pty Ltd
VRacer Hoverbike $29.99 307 89% 9.2k $276k (exactly $276,208) VertexBreakers
Helskate $24.99 301 65% 9.0k $226k (exactly $225,660) Phantom Coast
Torque Drift 2 · EA $19.99 376 62% 11k $225k (exactly $225,487) Grease Monkey Games
Copa City: Matchday Manager $24.99 247 72% 7.4k $185k (exactly $185,176) Triple Espresso S.A.
Shooters, Ready! $4.99 807 99% 24k $121k (exactly $120,808) おこめたべたべず
VMX · EA $14.99 229 89% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Break Free Interactive
DrumBeats VR $14.99 128 65% 3.8k $58k (exactly $57,562) Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Expe… (Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Experiences BV)
Smash it Wild: Tactical Volleyball Roguelike $11.99 106 83% 3.2k $38k (exactly $38,128) Goblinz Studio, Ernestine

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.