Games › Sports › Sports + Sci-fi
Should I ship a Sci-fi Sports game?
Sports + Sci-fi
Of 60 developers who shipped a Sci-fi Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 90 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×440 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 90 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) |
| Top 5% | $276k (exactly $276,208) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 60 |
| Released games | 238 |
| Announced | 90 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Racing, Arcade
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,235 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. Nearly all of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 90 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | EZ2ON REBOOT : R | older | $44.99 | 5,972 91% | 179k | $8.1M (exactly $8,060,408) | Neonovice Co., Ltd., SQUARE PIXELS |
| | Redout: Enhanced Edition | older | $19.99 | 3,438 84% | 103k | $2.1M (exactly $2,061,769) | 34BigThings srl |
| | Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor | older | $19.99 | 1,758 78% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) | Stray Fawn Studio |
| | Pacer | older | $39.99 | 576 72% | 17k | $691k (exactly $691,027) | R8 Games Ltd |
| | Ricochet | older | $4.99 | 4,549 82% | 136k | $681k (exactly $680,985) | Valve |
| | DeathSprint 66 | older | $19.99 | 495 83% | 15k | $297k (exactly $296,852) | Sumo Digital |
| | Synthwave Burnout | $12.99 | 751 74% | 23k | $293k (exactly $292,665) | Whale Rock Games | |
| | Exo Rally Championship | $24.99 | 374 90% | 11k | $280k (exactly $280,388) | Exbleative | |
| | VRacer Hoverbike | $29.99 | 307 89% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | VertexBreakers | |
| | ExoCross | older | $19.99 | 437 68% | 13k | $262k (exactly $262,069) | iRacing.com Motorsport Simulations, iRa… (iRacing.com Motorsport Simulations, iRacing) |
| | BREAK ARTS III | $17.99 | 334 80% | 10k | $180k (exactly $180,260) | MercuryStudio | |
| | Infinity: HexaDome Tactics | $19.99 | 92 75% | 2.8k | $55k (exactly $55,172) | Blindspot Games | |
| | Tower Tag | $9.99 | 180 90% | 5.4k | $54k (exactly $53,946) | Steinfatt GmbH | |
| | FUTA FIGHT & FUCK 🥊 | $14.99 | 115 92% | 3.5k | $52k (exactly $51,716) | BanzaiProject | |
| | Moto Rush Reborn | $12.99 | 43 97% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $16,757) | Baltoro Games | |
| | Project Hover | · EA | $9.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Ulysses Graphics |
| | The Last Golfer | $19.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Karthik Subramanyam, Andrew Laing |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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