Should I ship a Snow PvP game?
PvP + Snow
Only 11 developers shipped a Snow PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) |
| Top 5% | $562k (exactly $561,525) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 45 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 91% positive over 850 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Project Winter 2019 · $4.1M 
Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders 2025 · $562k 
Field of Glory II: Medieval 2021 · $381k 
Slopecrashers 2024 · $44k 
Bunny Hill 2020 · $39k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Project Winter | older | $9.99 | 13,662 84% | 410k | $4.1M (exactly $4,094,501) | Other Ocean Interactive |
| | Lonely Mountains: Snow Riders | $24.99 | 749 91% | 22k | $562k (exactly $561,525) | Megagon Industries | |
| | Field of Glory II: Medieval | older | $29.99 | 424 86% | 13k | $381k (exactly $381,473) | Byzantine Games |
| | Slopecrashers | $17.99 | 82 93% | 2.5k | $44k (exactly $44,255) | byteparrot | |
| | Bunny Hill | older | $7.99 | 161 95% | 4.8k | $39k (exactly $38,592) | DogmaQuest, Brendan Roarty |
 | Food Chain | · EA older | $7.99 | 69 59% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,539) | Kozhakov |
 | Skiing VR | older | $13.99 | 31 74% | 930 | $13k (exactly $13,011) | DGMA |
 | Riding Seas | older | $4.99 | 35 80% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | CatOnTree Studio |
 | Cubers: Arena | older | $14.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) | Tomasz Dziobek (TomiGames) |
 | The Krampus | · EA older | $9.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Horrid Vision LLC |
 | Retro Racing 2 | $11.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.6k (exactly $3,597) | Mr Qwak | |
 | Knights of the Apocalypse | $24.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $750 (exactly $750) | Sirius Morning Star | |
 | Snow War | · EA | $8.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | Gnomecraft |
 | Cold Snap | · EA | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | LazyProductive |
 | Snowball Party | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Game_Artisan | |
 | Car Soccer Simulator | · EA | $0.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $119 (exactly $119) | Kongratz |
 | Dzyun Battle 2026 | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Just Making Games | |
 | Call of Toys: Tower Defense | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Bakart Games - Rômulo |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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