Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Golf game?

PvP + Golf

Of 29 developers who shipped a PvP Golf game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $540. Revenue is up 445% on the market; 34 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 445% on the market, 34 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $5.1k → $3.0k → $1.8k → $899 → $1.4k → $2.7k (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $540 (exactly $540)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,392)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 77
Announced 34
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 445% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Golf
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Golf; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 13,807 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  8. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  9. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  10. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  11. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced
  12. + Match 3Long shot21 devs · median $505 · 29 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
PGA TOUR 2K25 $39.99 3,791 70% 114k $4.5M (exactly $4,548,063) HB Studios
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
Disc Golf Masters · EA $24.99 427 83% 13k $320k (exactly $320,122) Spinoff Games
Golf Around! older $9.99 823 94% 25k $247k (exactly $246,653) Hough Studio
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Disc Golf Valley older $4.99 490 81% 15k $73k (exactly $73,353) Spinoff Games
Looney Tunes: Wacky World of Sports $49.99 34 79% 1.0k $51k (exactly $50,990) Bamtang Games
Golden Tee Arcade Classics $29.99 45 86% 1.4k $40k (exactly $40,486) Digital Eclipse
True Disc Golf $24.99 32 90% 960 $24k (exactly $23,990) Sportsmanlike Games
This Is Golf $4.99 86 94% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) SaltySeedGames
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
Super Serious Golf $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Karnage Studios
Golftacular! $5.99 17 94% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Both Good

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.