Should I ship a PvP Tennis game?
PvP + Tennis
Only 17 developers shipped a PvP Tennis game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tennis Elbow 4, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.
Verdict: long shot, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $960k, ×647 the market median. Revenue is up 1460% on the market; 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) |
| Top 5% | $969k (exactly $968,977) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1460% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Tennis; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Local Multiplayer, Sports, Split Screen
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoony, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 1,535 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
- + Match 3Long shot
Comparable games
AO Tennis 2 2020 · $1.9M 
TopSpin 2K25 2024 · $1.2M 
Tennis Elbow 4 2026 · $969k 
Full Ace Tennis Simulator 2018 · $364k 
Tennis World Tour 2 2020 · $242k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | AO Tennis 2 | older | $49.99 | 1,236 70% | 37k | $1.9M (exactly $1,853,629) | Big Ant Studios |
| | TopSpin 2K25 | older | $19.99 | 2,040 57% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) | Hangar 13 |
| | Tennis Elbow 4 | $29.99 | 1,077 96% | 32k | $969k (exactly $968,977) | Mana Games | |
| | Full Ace Tennis Simulator | older | $24.99 | 486 90% | 15k | $364k (exactly $364,354) | Galactic Gaming Guild |
| | Tennis World Tour 2 | older | $39.99 | 202 49% | 6.1k | $242k (exactly $242,339) | Big Ant Studios |
 | Pure Badminton | $19.99 | 323 81% | 9.7k | $194k (exactly $193,703) | DS SOFT | |
 | Matchpoint - Tennis Championships | older | $39.99 | 117 70% | 3.5k | $140k (exactly $140,365) | Torus Games |
 | Looney Tunes: Wacky World of Sports | $49.99 | 34 79% | 1.0k | $51k (exactly $50,990) | Bamtang Games | |
 | Racket Club | older | $24.99 | 58 68% | 1.7k | $43k (exactly $43,483) | Resolution Games |
 | PPA Pickleball Tour 2025 | older | $29.99 | 18 33% | 540 | $16k (exactly $16,195) | FarSight Studios |
 | Nickelodeon Extreme Tennis: Next! | $29.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $9.9k (exactly $9,897) | Old Skull Games | |
 | Tennis Fighters | $7.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) | TDO Games | |
 | Sokker | $2.99 | 29 86% | 870 | $2.6k (exactly $2,601) | Sokpop Collective | |
 | Casual Sport Series: Tennis | $5.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) | Revulo Games | |
 | Pungo | $3.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $1.7k (exactly $1,676) | White Eyes Studio | |
 | Casual Sport Series: Badminton | $4.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Revulo Games | |
 | Line Clipper: Tennis Tactics | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Golden Set Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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