Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + World War I

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWI PvP game?

PvP + World War I

Only 12 developers shipped a WWI PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Over The Top: WWI, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + World War I
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for PvP + World War I: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $1.0M (exactly $1,042,752)
Top 5% $3.8M (exactly $3,837,379)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 40
Announced 14
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
World War I
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 14,944 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $1.0M, 1 in 20 over $3.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  8. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  9. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  10. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  11. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced
  12. + Match 3Long shot21 devs · median $505 · 29 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 1 older $39.99 200,661 86% 6.0M $241M (exactly $240,733,002) DICE
Verdun older $59.99 28,967 87% 869k $52M (exactly $52,131,910) BlackMill Games
Isonzo older $39.99 14,434 85% 433k $17M (exactly $17,316,470) BlackMill Games
Holdfast: Nations At War older $19.99 26,624 90% 799k $16M (exactly $15,966,413) Anvil Game Studios
Iron Harvest older $29.99 11,682 74% 350k $11M (exactly $10,510,295) KING Art
Tannenberg older $19.99 7,644 86% 229k $4.6M (exactly $4,584,107) Blackmill Games
Over The Top: WWI $19.14 6,683 84% 200k $3.8M (exactly $3,837,379) Flying Squirrel Entertainment
Gallipoli $29.99 4,015 78% 120k $3.6M (exactly $3,612,296) BlackMill Games
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
The Great War: Western Front™ older $34.99 2,733 66% 82k $2.9M (exactly $2,868,830) Petroglyph
Aces of Thunder $29.99 1,159 57% 35k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,752) Gaijin Entertainment
Age of History 2: Definitive Edition $9.99 2,600 83% 78k $779k (exactly $779,220) Łukasz Jakowski
Age of Clicks · EA $12.99 472 65% 14k $184k (exactly $183,938) David Ius
Home Before Winter (HBW) · EA $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Core Reaction Studios
Sky Scramble $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) SpunjLabs
Operation Anatolia: The Great Offensive $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Musa Yiğit Yayla
Toon Troops Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) New Angle Digital
Daily War Online $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Xorbis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.