Should I ship a PvP Baseball game?
PvP + Baseball
Only 6 developers shipped a PvP Baseball game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Backyard Baseball, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.6k, ×5.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $900. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $898 (exactly $898) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) |
| Top 25% | $1.2M (exactly $1,228,254) |
| Top 5% | $1.5M (exactly $1,451,637) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Baseball
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 5,972 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
- + Match 3Long shot
Comparable games
Super Mega Baseball 3 2020 · $2.5M 
Super Mega Baseball™ 4 2023 · $2.0M 
Backyard Baseball 2026 · $1.5M 
Out of the Park Baseball 26 2025 · $1.2M 
Out of the Park Baseball 27 2026 · $712k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Super Mega Baseball 3 | older | $44.99 | 1,832 92% | 55k | $2.5M (exactly $2,472,650) | Metalhead Software Inc. |
| | Super Mega Baseball™ 4 | older | $49.99 | 1,327 80% | 40k | $2.0M (exactly $1,990,102) | Metalhead Software Inc. |
| | Backyard Baseball | $39.99 | 1,210 80% | 36k | $1.5M (exactly $1,451,637) | Mega Cat Studios | |
| | Out of the Park Baseball 26 | $49.99 | 819 82% | 25k | $1.2M (exactly $1,228,254) | Out of the Park Developments | |
| | Out of the Park Baseball 27 | $49.99 | 475 82% | 14k | $712k (exactly $712,358) | Out of the Park Developments | |
 | iB Cricket | · EA older | $29.99 | 124 91% | 3.7k | $112k (exactly $111,563) | ProYuga Advanced Technologies Ltd |
 | World League Baseball | older | $14.99 | 113 69% | 3.4k | $51k (exactly $50,816) | HAEGIN Co.,Ltd. |
 | Super Slam Dunk Touchdown | older | $15.00 | 41 75% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $18,450) | Tipping Goat LLC |
 | Indoor Baseball | $14.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | Snow Day Software | |
 | holoBase | $12.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | Clover Lab.,inc. | |
 | Tabletop Baseball | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Dumb Duck Games | |
 | SUPER BOARD BASEBALL | $4.44 | 1 100% | 30 | $133 (exactly $133) | HIROSHI TODO |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.