Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Billiards

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Billiards game?

PvP + Billiards

Only 18 developers shipped a PvP Billiards game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nine-Ball Roulette, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 2075% on the market; 12 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 2075% on the market, 12 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Billiards
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $896 → $89 → $958 (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Billiards: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,873)
Top 5% $258k (exactly $258,432)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 52
Announced 12
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2075% on the market, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Billiards
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Billiards; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Physics, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,516 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 12 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  10. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  11. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced
  12. + Match 3Long shot21 devs · median $505 · 29 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cue Club 2: Pool & Snooker older $18.99 858 90% 26k $489k (exactly $488,803) Bulldog Interactive
Nine-Ball Roulette $3.99 2,159 88% 65k $258k (exactly $258,432) WaveBox Labs
Pure Pool Pro $24.99 206 66% 6.2k $154k (exactly $154,438) Rockwater
Nock older $19.99 49 87% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) Normal
All-In-One Summer Sports VR · EA older $19.99 45 84% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Appnori Inc.
Black Hole Pool VR older $19.99 43 79% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) Pixel Works Ltd.
ForeVR Pool VR older $19.99 33 57% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) ForeVR Games Inc
3D Pool older $6.99 46 52% 1.4k $9.6k (exactly $9,646) Z-Software GmbH
Dorts : A Darts Roguelike $8.99 23 100% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) MovingPixels
Wizard Pool $2.99 66 84% 2.0k $5.9k (exactly $5,920) Grouch, SuitNtie, Negative Karma
Billgard $3.99 24 95% 720 $2.9k (exactly $2,873) Triflgard
Pool 2 $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Felix Li
Biida-Bash $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Silver Thumb Games
Snooker Billiard $24.99 2 50% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) DotStudio
Pool · EA $5.99 6 33% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Hard Shark Games
CarCam $3.99 8 25% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Movcans Vadims

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.