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Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Puzzle Platformer
Only 8 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2835 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $3.6k (exactly $3,591) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 25% | $529k (exactly $528,538) |
| Top 5% | $1.8M (exactly $1,780,355) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Swordplay
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Puzzle Platformer
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay, Puzzle Platformer
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 3,026 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition | $39.99 | 1,484 78% | 45k | $1.8M (exactly $1,780,355) | Myrkur Games | |
| | 1348 Ex Voto | $24.99 | 705 53% | 21k | $529k (exactly $528,538) | Sedleo | |
| | Armed with Wings: Rearmed | older | $9.99 | 406 87% | 12k | $122k (exactly $121,678) | Sun-Studios |
| | Testament: The Order of High Human | older | $19.99 | 84 42% | 2.5k | $50k (exactly $50,375) | Fairyship Games |
| | GIGASWORD | $14.99 | 108 75% | 3.2k | $49k (exactly $48,568) | Studio Hybrid | |
| | Warden: Melody of the Undergrowth | older | $19.99 | 46 78% | 1.4k | $28k (exactly $27,586) | Cardboard Keep |
| | Magitek VR | · EA older | $14.99 | 32 81% | 960 | $14k (exactly $14,390) | Liam Poli, Dion Cuttriss, Michael Pogson |
| | Demons of Asteborg | older | $9.99 | 41 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $12,288) | Neofid Studios, Nindo |
| | Path of Sacrifice | older | $3.99 | 99 92% | 3.0k | $12k (exactly $11,850) | 谜之老六 |
| | Ruzar - The Dark Stones | older | $17.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $11k (exactly $11,334) | Hammer Glass Studio Inc. |
| | The Lone Sword | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Kamil Kozłowski | |
| | ASHGARD: Infinity Mask | · EA | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | ASHGARD GAMES |
| | the Shadow of Swallow | $3.99 | 30 76% | 900 | $3.6k (exactly $3,591) | Raine Studio | |
| | Iridescent | $9.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | DraymaDev | |
| | Ollie and the Merchant of Dreams | $17.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Lavadrop Entertainment |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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