Do I ship it?

GamesSwordplaySwordplay + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Swordplay game?

Swordplay + Puzzle Platformer

Only 8 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2835 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Swordplay + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Swordplay + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,591)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $529k (exactly $528,538)
Top 5% $1.8M (exactly $1,780,355)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 28
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Swordplay
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Swordplay, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 3,026 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $520k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Swordplay with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelFair13 devs · median $5.7k · 10 announced
  2. + Strategy RPGFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced
  4. + Auto BattlerFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  5. + DeckbuildingFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  6. + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  7. + SamuraiPoor odds12 devs · median $80k · 21 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $14k · 22 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds39 devs · median $13k · 79 announced
  10. + FightingPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $12k · 53 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 26 announced

All 115 pairs on the Swordplay page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition $39.99 1,484 78% 45k $1.8M (exactly $1,780,355) Myrkur Games
1348 Ex Voto $24.99 705 53% 21k $529k (exactly $528,538) Sedleo
Armed with Wings: Rearmed older $9.99 406 87% 12k $122k (exactly $121,678) Sun-Studios
Testament: The Order of High Human older $19.99 84 42% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Fairyship Games
GIGASWORD $14.99 108 75% 3.2k $49k (exactly $48,568) Studio Hybrid
Warden: Melody of the Undergrowth older $19.99 46 78% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Cardboard Keep
Magitek VR · EA older $14.99 32 81% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Liam Poli, Dion Cuttriss, Michael Pogson
Demons of Asteborg older $9.99 41 87% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Neofid Studios, Nindo
Path of Sacrifice older $3.99 99 92% 3.0k $12k (exactly $11,850) 谜之老六
Ruzar - The Dark Stones older $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Hammer Glass Studio Inc.
The Lone Sword $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Kamil Kozłowski
ASHGARD: Infinity Mask · EA $9.99 13 84% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) ASHGARD GAMES
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Iridescent $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) DraymaDev
Ollie and the Merchant of Dreams $17.99 2 100% 60 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Lavadrop Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.