Do I ship it?

GamesTop-Down ShooterTop-Down Shooter + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Top-Down Shooter?

Top-Down Shooter + Puzzle

Of 36 developers who shipped a Puzzle Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 59 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 59 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Top-Down Shooter + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $3.9k → $269 → $150 → $1.0k → $479 → $269 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Top-Down Shooter + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $16,018)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 155
Announced 59
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Top-Down Shooter, Puzzle; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Top-Down, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,636 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $16k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Top-Down Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + VampiresFair16 devs · median $3.7k · 10 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  3. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 15 announced
  4. + IdlerFair24 devs · median $748 · 30 announced
  5. + ArcheryFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 28 announced
  7. + Tactical RPGPoor odds12 devs · median $5.5k · 16 announced
  8. + Action RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + HistoricalPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 24 announced
  10. + ModernPoor odds13 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds45 devs · median $3.1k · 125 announced
  12. + DystopianPoor odds24 devs · median $3.1k · 92 announced

All 150 pairs on the Top-Down Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Darksiders Genesis older $29.99 10,379 82% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,337,986) Airship Syndicate
Door Kickers older $19.99 8,041 94% 241k $4.8M (exactly $4,822,188) KillHouse Games
Endoparasitic older $9.99 2,928 93% 88k $878k (exactly $877,522) Miziziziz
Whisper Mountain Outbreak · EA $7.99 2,421 84% 73k $580k (exactly $580,314) Toge Productions
Disc Room older $14.99 957 92% 29k $430k (exactly $430,363) Terri, Dose, Kitty, JW
INVERSUS Deluxe older $14.99 271 88% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Hypersect
DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION older $6.99 383 95% 11k $80k (exactly $80,315) David Szymanski
Velocity®Ultra older $13.99 139 79% 4.2k $58k (exactly $58,338) Curve Studios, FuturLab
Flame Over older $11.99 146 69% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,516) Laughing Jackal LTD
OMG Zombies! older $4.99 347 80% 10k $52k (exactly $51,946) Laughing Jackal LTD
Seek $4.99 107 81% 3.2k $16k (exactly $16,018) cloud_li
The Zebra-Man! $14.99 10 90% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Zerouno Games, Thunder Zebra
GOST of Time $4.99 27 100% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) IzHard
Cure for Danmaku Synd $6.99 17 100% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) ToAge
Stopping Move $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
Just a Little Longer $7.99 7 71% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Scott Jund
JAIL DICE: Roll to Break $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) GyoonyGames
Drop: Save the Forest $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Riccardo Giol, Games Greenhouse
catgirl bloodhunt $2.99 18 100% 540 $1.6k (exactly $1,615) quiet4miu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.