Do I ship it?

Games › Sports › Sports + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Sports game?

Sports + Precision Platformer

Of 59 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. Revenue is down 55% on the market, with 52 games announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 52 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $898 → $1.0k → $1.8k → $598 → $2.2k → $0 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $416 (exactly $416)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $48,957)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 162
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, 3D Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 2,701 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $420, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $48k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

OlliOlli World 2022 · $539k Paddle Paddle Paddle 2025 · $237k Golfie 2023 · $148k Rocket Boots Mania 2025 · $103k City Climber 2017 · $55k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OlliOlli World older $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Roll7
Paddle Paddle Paddle $4.99 1,584 86% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Zoroarts
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
City Climber older $4.99 367 76% 11k $55k (exactly $54,940) Ondrej Angelovic
Jet Kave Adventure older $14.99 122 85% 3.7k $55k (exactly $54,863) 7Levels
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
Pro Gymnast Simulator older $14.99 105 92% 3.2k $47k (exactly $47,218) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Mind Spheres older $4.99 309 83% 9.3k $46k (exactly $46,257) Microblast Games
Multiplayer Platform Golf older $4.99 293 89% 8.8k $44k (exactly $43,862) Robot Assembly
Galumb $7.99 148 28% 4.4k $35k (exactly $35,476) OB
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games
Seafrog $14.99 35 100% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) OhMyMe Games
Skullbreaker $29.99 13 92% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Sharkgame
cheapskate · EA $4.99 55 98% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Simple Dev Studio
Hotdangle $17.99 11 100% 330 $5.9k (exactly $5,937) Devorange Studio Inc
Balling Up $3.99 39 79% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) RedKar Devs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.