Games › Swordplay › Swordplay + Post-apocalyptic
Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Post-apocalyptic
Only 9 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beast of Reincarnation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $7.5M, ×12002 the market median. Revenue is up 699105% on the market; 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $836 (exactly $836) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $34,783) |
| Top 5% | $7.5M (exactly $7,537,144) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 41 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Swordplay
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Post-apocalyptic
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 180,046 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Kenshi 2018 · $89M 
Ghostrunner 2020 · $42M 
Last Oasis 2020 · EA · $18M 
Ghostrunner 2 2023 · $9.6M 
Beast of Reincarnation 2026 · $7.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Kenshi | older | $29.99 | 98,451 95% | 3.0M | $89M (exactly $88,576,365) | Lo-Fi Games |
| | Ghostrunner | older | $29.99 | 46,818 91% | 1.4M | $42M (exactly $42,122,155) | One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Iro… (One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Ironworks™, All in! Games) |
| | Last Oasis | · EA older | $29.99 | 20,443 63% | 613k | $18M (exactly $18,392,567) | Donkey Crew |
| | Ghostrunner 2 | older | $39.99 | 7,981 80% | 239k | $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) | One More Level |
| | Beast of Reincarnation | $59.99 | 4,188 56% | 126k | $7.5M (exactly $7,537,144) | GAME FREAK inc. | |
 | 1348 Ex Voto | $24.99 | 705 53% | 21k | $529k (exactly $528,538) | Sedleo | |
 | Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story | older | $19.99 | 706 54% | 21k | $423k (exactly $423,388) | aNCHOR Inc., fuzz, Inc. |
 | Unsouled | older | $19.99 | 265 72% | 8.0k | $159k (exactly $158,920) | Megusta Game |
 | Feral Blue | · EA older | $19.99 | 239 51% | 7.2k | $143k (exactly $143,328) | Snowbird Games |
 | Knights Within | · EA older | $17.99 | 250 95% | 7.5k | $135k (exactly $134,925) | Indecision Labs |
 | Sancticide | $19.99 | 58 62% | 1.7k | $35k (exactly $34,783) | Red Square Games, Sylen Studio | |
 | ASHGARD: Infinity Mask | · EA | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | ASHGARD GAMES |
 | One True Path - Part 1 | $1.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | InnerspaceVR | |
 | Fur and Void | $9.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | DFS | |
 | Residual Wilds | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Magic Art Hat | |
 | Battlement | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Henkdg | |
 | Monster Survival | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | B Rees |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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