Do I ship it?

GamesTrading Card GameTrading Card Game + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Trading Card Game?

Trading Card Game + Point & Click

Only 9 developers shipped a Point & Click Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FISHTOPIA, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 90% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 17 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading Card Game + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Trading Card Game + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $539 (exactly $539)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $18,879)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 74
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Trading Card Game, Point & Click
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $3.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 28,697 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $240, 1 in 4 over $530, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  2. + SandboxFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $10k · 26 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds16 devs · median $10k · 36 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds18 devs · median $10k · 21 announced
  7. + CollectathonPoor odds26 devs · median $6.3k · 41 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $6.1k · 25 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds11 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerPoor odds22 devs · median $3.4k · 27 announced
  11. + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 38 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $3.1k · 36 announced

All 69 pairs on the Trading Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zup! F older $1.99 7,749 96% 232k $463k (exactly $462,615) Quiet River
Zup! 2 older $1.99 6,490 95% 195k $387k (exactly $387,453) Quiet River
Zup! 8 older $1.99 4,176 95% 125k $249k (exactly $249,307) Quiet River
Zup! Z older $1.99 4,058 97% 122k $242k (exactly $242,263) Quiet River
Zup! 5 older $1.99 2,856 93% 86k $171k (exactly $170,503) Quiet River
12 Labours of Hercules II: The Cretan Bull older $2.99 1,736 90% 52k $156k (exactly $155,719) Jetdogs Studios, Zoom Out Games
Gnomes Garden older $14.99 262 87% 7.9k $118k (exactly $117,821) Workroom7, Creobit
Zup! Zero 2 older $1.99 1,251 94% 38k $75k (exactly $74,685) Quiet River
FISHTOPIA $8.99 70 87% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,879) BountyGames
SEARCH ALL - ADULT older $9.99 49 67% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
PERSEVERANCE: Chapter 1 $4.99 25 44% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) XPECTED
Choice Matters $5.99 3 66% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Nue Games
The Lion Gambles Everything He Owns $0.99 18 83% 540 $535 (exactly $535) Simba
Fated All-In: Casino 5 Queens $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) TEAM OLDBOY_Levi
Games for Stream! $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Lacozy
LuckyCat $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) TanE Games
Waifu Dominion: Lustful Reign $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) A.I.Flo
Creature Tamer · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Shadow Form Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.