Do I ship it?

GamesSwordplaySwordplay + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Swordplay game?

Swordplay + Point & Click

Only 7 developers shipped a Point & Click Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ladies, Don’t Tempt My Immortality, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $630. 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 4 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Swordplay + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $600 → $299 → $539
Outcomes for Swordplay + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $360 (exactly $360)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $8.9k (exactly $8,880)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $18,793)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 34
Announced 4
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Swordplay
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Swordplay, Point & Click
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.95.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 759 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $540, 1 in 4 over $8.8k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Swordplay with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelFair13 devs · median $5.7k · 10 announced
  2. + Strategy RPGFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $2.7k · 4 announced
  4. + Auto BattlerFair13 devs · median $1.1k · 8 announced
  5. + DeckbuildingFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  6. + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  7. + SamuraiPoor odds12 devs · median $80k · 21 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $14k · 22 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds39 devs · median $13k · 79 announced
  10. + FightingPoor odds13 devs · median $13k · 33 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $12k · 53 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 26 announced

All 115 pairs on the Swordplay page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
1428: Shadows over Silesia older $19.99 201 72% 6.0k $121k (exactly $120,540) KUBI Games
Pedro's Adventures in Spanish [Learn Spanish] older $21.99 161 90% 4.8k $106k (exactly $106,212) Rocket Boy Games
The Adventures of The Black Hawk older $12.99 77 85% 2.3k $30k (exactly $30,007) Croqueta Asesina Studios
Ladies, Don’t Tempt My Immortality $10.99 57 89% 1.7k $19k (exactly $18,793) 蒸汽满满工作室
宗门最后的长老 $2.99 99 96% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) KUMA studio
Knife To Meet You older $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Mate Magyar
Hero Puzzle older $1.99 74 54% 2.2k $4.4k (exactly $4,418) Hero Games
PAGO FOREST: DRAGON'S REVENGE older $5.99 24 100% 720 $4.3k (exactly $4,313) Futurtech
LA FORET DE PAGO 2 : SOUVENIR DE GLACE older $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Futurtech
SEARCH ALL - RUNES older $2.99 42 92% 1.3k $3.8k (exactly $3,767) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Where's My Bara Deck? Hardcastle $1.99 10 90% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Kopon Games
Frog & Blade $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) StarGazer
Arena $2.00 6 100% 180 $360 (exactly $360) 30 Minute Games
Arena II $3.95 3 100% 90 $356 (exactly $356) 30 Minute Games
Path of Clicks $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) FANE Studio
Teamfight Royale $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Festucs Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.