Do I ship it?

Games › Sports › Sports + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Sports game?

Sports + Point & Click

Of 37 developers who shipped a Point & Click Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $390 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 575% on the market, 22 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $598 → $30 → $1.5k → $2.4k → $119 → $449 → $958 (still earning) → $505 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,269)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $17,147)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 152
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 575% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Point & Click; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Choose Your Own Adventure, Incremental
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 336 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wordle 2021 · $1.1M Wordle 3 2020 · $560k Adorables 2016 · $452k Wordle 2 2020 · $362k Mahjong World Contest (麻将) 2016 · $87k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wordle older $30.62 1,147 80% 34k $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) PreoNus Games
Wordle 3 older $30.62 610 78% 18k $560k (exactly $560,346) PreoNus Games
Adorables older $29.99 502 80% 15k $452k (exactly $451,649) White Rabbit
Wordle 2 older $30.62 394 61% 12k $362k (exactly $361,928) PreoNus Games
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
Play with my balls older $29.99 92 89% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) Galactic Geckon
Let's take a bath with Purin 2 older $17.99 133 83% 4.0k $72k (exactly $71,780) Parabolica Games
MMA Team Manager older $29.99 56 33% 1.7k $50k (exactly $50,383) Alternative Software Ltd
Pixel Golf Club older $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Galactic Geckon
Trivia Vault Baseball Trivia older $13.99 75 69% 2.3k $31k (exactly $31,478) Ripknot Systems
Sexercise Club $7.99 99 77% 3.0k $24k (exactly $23,730) Dreamers Workshop
Rebounding Life - Season 1 $12.99 44 79% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) SuperWriter
DR Dominoes $5.99 40 100% 1.2k $7.2k (exactly $7,188) Gammes
Tap Derby: Horse Racing $4.99 36 91% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Frost Warrior Studios
Pétanque 2026 $4.99 25 76% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) DELPORTE Lucas
Swish Ball Clicker $7.99 15 53% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Broad Street Indie Games
Ballardo: Roguelike Billiards · EA $8.99 13 53% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Nue Games
Crazy Robot Ball $5.99 18 100% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) Blue Band Studio
Teach Kids Games $9.99 8 0% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) 2kblater
Coloring Cats: Sports With Friends $1.99 38 97% 1.1k $2.3k (exactly $2,269) Mens Sana Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.