Games › Sports › Sports + Perma Death
Should I ship a Perma Death Sports game?
Sports + Perma Death
Only 16 developers shipped a Perma Death Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Exo Rally Championship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $940; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×446 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 12 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $932 (exactly $932) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $13,663) |
| Top 5% | $280k (exactly $280,388) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 12 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 335% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Perma Death
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Perma Death
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 823 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $940. 12 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Exo Rally Championship 2026 · $280k 
Golfie 2023 · $148k 
Hangtime! 2025 · $75k 
Dungeon Deathball 2021 · $69k 
Up to Par 2024 · $29k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Exo Rally Championship | $24.99 | 374 90% | 11k | $280k (exactly $280,388) | Exbleative | |
| | Golfie | older | $17.99 | 275 66% | 8.3k | $148k (exactly $148,418) | Triheart Studio |
| | Hangtime! | $9.99 | 250 77% | 7.5k | $75k (exactly $74,925) | Leo Langlois | |
| | Dungeon Deathball | older | $11.99 | 193 95% | 5.8k | $69k (exactly $69,422) | Matt Glanville |
| | Up to Par | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | It's Anecdotal | |
 | SPORTAL | $7.99 | 57 94% | 1.7k | $14k (exactly $13,663) | Sleepwalking Potatoes | |
 | An Other Golf Game | · EA | $6.99 | 46 86% | 1.4k | $9.6k (exactly $9,646) | waxycaps |
 | Not a Masterpıece | older | $24.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $9.0k (exactly $8,996) | Gamesforgames |
 | Brutal Ball Manager 2 | · EA | $9.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | Stout Kassel Games |
 | Unbreakable Vr Runner | older | $3.99 | 44 97% | 1.3k | $5.3k (exactly $5,267) | Miikka Åsnabrygg |
 | Ironblood | · EA | $19.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | Jack Wilds |
 | Turn Based Boxing: Tactics - Legends Edition | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | The Slanted Room | |
 | Overton | $14.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Casey Blase | |
 | Guild Manager | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Benjamin King |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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