Games › Otome › Otome + Puzzle
Should I ship an Otome Puzzle game?
Otome + Puzzle
Only 13 developers shipped an Otome Puzzle game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 月华辉映之刻, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×26 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.5M, ×12777 the market median. Revenue is up 1045% on the market; 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.1k (exactly $3,112) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $17,391) |
| Top 5% | $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1045% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Otome, Puzzle; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Dating Sim, RPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,612 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Otome with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + IncrementalStrong odds
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Interactive FictionPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Word GamePoor odds
- + MysteryPoor odds
Comparable games
月华辉映之刻 2025 · $1.5M 
BUSTAFELLOWS 2021 · $1.2M 
Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze 2022 · $387k 
Arcadia Fallen 2021 · $378k 
Magical Diary: Horse Hall 2012 · $318k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 月华辉映之刻 | $11.99 | 4,227 89% | 127k | $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) | 侠客狗工作室 | |
| | BUSTAFELLOWS | older | $39.99 | 968 86% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,161,310) | NIPPON CULTURAL BROADCASTING EXTEND INC. |
| | Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze | older | $2.99 | 4,312 92% | 129k | $387k (exactly $386,786) | 红渊 |
| | Arcadia Fallen | older | $24.99 | 504 94% | 15k | $378k (exactly $377,849) | Galdra Studios |
| | Magical Diary: Horse Hall | older | $14.99 | 708 93% | 21k | $318k (exactly $318,388) | Hanako Games |
 | Arcadia Fallen II | $29.99 | 165 98% | 5.0k | $148k (exactly $148,450) | Galdra Studios | |
 | Valhalla：Awakening of Valkyrie | older | $7.99 | 268 36% | 8.0k | $64k (exactly $64,240) | Fantasy Game |
 | Date Warp | older | $9.99 | 159 88% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $47,652) | Hanako Games |
 | Veloria | $14.99 | 100 89% | 3.0k | $45k (exactly $44,970) | WANDERING WITCH PROIECTUM | |
 | C14 Dating | older | $19.99 | 58 93% | 1.7k | $35k (exactly $34,783) | Winter Wolves |
 | AnnaRedux | $19.99 | 29 79% | 870 | $17k (exactly $17,391) | 那什么游戏制作日记 | |
 | Love at The Milky Way Diner | · EA | $13.99 | 25 100% | 750 | $10k (exactly $10,492) | Lucky Kim, Emanuelle Heikens |
 | 《美少女旅馆：可爱即是正义，但正义需要处刑》 | · EA | $4.99 | 22 45% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | ZhiFeng |
 | 迷雾岛屿：9号万能试剂 | $3.99 | 26 96% | 780 | $3.1k (exactly $3,112) | Bio.no.187 | |
 | Dreaming on the last light 人偶馆绮幻夜 | $12.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.9k (exactly $1,948) | Everlasting游戏制作组 | |
 | 魔女之塔 Witch's Tower | $4.99 | 11 45% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Bi Shenghui | |
 | Danmaku Girl | $3.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | SHAN YU |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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