Games › Dating Sim › Dating Sim + Otome
Should I ship an Otome Dating Sim?
Dating Sim + Otome
Of 110 developers who shipped an Otome Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 192 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.8k, ×66 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×1921 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 192 games are announced against 67 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) |
| Top 25% | $40k (exactly $39,587) |
| Top 5% | $229k (exactly $228,581) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 110 |
| Released games | 409 |
| Announced | 192 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Otome
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Dating Sim, Otome; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Multiple Endings, Interactive Fiction
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Anime, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 11,969 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 8 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 192 games are announced against 67 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dating Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WarStrong odds
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Souls-likeStrong odds
- + AliensStrong odds
- + PlatformerStrong odds
- + HistoricalFair
- + FPSFair
- + Post-apocalypticFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Action-AdventureFair
- + TacticalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DRAMAtical Murder | older | $19.99 | 4,640 96% | 139k | $2.8M (exactly $2,782,608) | Nitro+CHiRAL |
| | Hatoful Boyfriend | older | $9.99 | 5,533 94% | 166k | $1.7M (exactly $1,658,240) | Mediatonic, Hato Moa |
| | Ken ga Kimi | older | $49.99 | 1,065 93% | 32k | $1.6M (exactly $1,597,180) | Rejet |
| | 私のリアルは充実しすぎている フルボイス版 | older | $9.99 | 5,322 96% | 160k | $1.6M (exactly $1,595,003) | TetraScope |
| | 月华辉映之刻 | $11.99 | 4,227 89% | 127k | $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) | 侠客狗工作室 | |
| | BUSTAFELLOWS | older | $39.99 | 968 86% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,161,310) | NIPPON CULTURAL BROADCASTING EXTEND INC. |
| | My Vow to My Liege | older | $9.99 | 3,844 91% | 115k | $1.2M (exactly $1,152,047) | YETU GAME |
| | Amnesia™: Memories | older | $9.99 | 3,721 92% | 112k | $1.1M (exactly $1,115,184) | Idea Factory, Design Factory |
| | 灾厄黑龙与谎言公主 | $9.99 | 3,682 90% | 110k | $1.1M (exactly $1,103,495) | 莓夜工作室 | |
| | Nightshade/百花百狼 | older | $34.99 | 717 95% | 22k | $753k (exactly $752,635) | Red Entertainment, LANTERN ROOMS |
| | Sensei! I Like You So Much! | $16.99 | 1,304 86% | 39k | $665k (exactly $664,649) | LaoO Studio (Shanghai Ou Ou Xi Network… (LaoO Studio (Shanghai Ou Ou Xi Network Technology Co. LTD)) | |
| | Meiji Tokyo Renka Full Moon | $59.99 | 196 91% | 5.9k | $353k (exactly $352,741) | dramatic create | |
| | 我的恋爱逃生攻略 Love to Live | $9.99 | 864 85% | 26k | $259k (exactly $258,941) | 番茄炖肉制作组 | |
| | Heart Cage | $20.99 | 363 97% | 11k | $229k (exactly $228,581) | RiceLoveCoffee | |
| | INtLOVErt Game Club | $39.99 | 186 96% | 5.6k | $223k (exactly $223,144) | じょせふ | |
| | The Ethereal Dream | $19.99 | 263 74% | 7.9k | $158k (exactly $157,721) | 鸭子与葱制作组 | |
| | Only You | $6.99 | 719 94% | 22k | $151k (exactly $150,774) | 忘雪社 | |
| | Arcadia Fallen II | $29.99 | 165 98% | 5.0k | $148k (exactly $148,450) | Galdra Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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