Do I ship it?

GamesOtomeOtome + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Otome Point & Click game?

Otome + Point & Click

Only 8 developers shipped an Otome Point & Click game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The World Well: Blood of Caro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×28 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $73k, ×620 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 27.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Otome + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $39k → $2.4k → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Otome + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $475 (exactly $475)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,942)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $73,738)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 35
Announced 22
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 600% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Otome
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Otome, Point & Click
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,476 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $73k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Otome with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  2. + 2D PlatformerFair21 devs · median $420 · 28 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds24 devs · median $11k · 30 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds45 devs · median $9.9k · 93 announced
  5. + Dating SimPoor odds110 devs · median $7.8k · 192 announced
  6. + Interactive FictionPoor odds71 devs · median $7.8k · 126 announced
  7. + Character CustomizationPoor odds16 devs · median $7.5k · 39 announced
  8. + SimulationPoor odds69 devs · median $7.2k · 120 announced
  9. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds65 devs · median $6.5k · 118 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds58 devs · median $6.5k · 121 announced
  11. + Word GamePoor odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 34 announced
  12. + MysteryPoor odds32 devs · median $5.8k · 65 announced

All 32 pairs on the Otome page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Komorebi older $19.99 258 92% 7.7k $155k (exactly $154,723) Klace
Laid-Back Camp - Virtual - Fumoto Campsite older $19.99 151 89% 4.5k $91k (exactly $90,555) Gemdrops, Inc.
The Confines Of The Crown older $14.99 193 89% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Hanako Games
Always Remember Me older $17.99 142 59% 4.3k $77k (exactly $76,637) Winter Wolves
The World Well: Blood of Caro $11.99 205 85% 6.2k $74k (exactly $73,738) Nimparth
Band Camp Boyfriend older $19.99 113 96% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) Lovebird Game Studios
NejicomiSimulator TMA01 older $12.99 100 76% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) やぶから堂, たまぷろじぇくと
Love ritual older $11.99 98 57% 2.9k $35k (exactly $35,251) Xand arts
Monstrous Love older $5.99 170 95% 5.1k $31k (exactly $30,549) Ana Pepper, Time Galleon
Amber's Magic Shop older $19.99 46 67% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) Winter Wolves
TELLURICENE $11.99 61 100% 1.8k $22k (exactly $21,942) DEADline Studios
Love at The Milky Way Diner · EA $13.99 25 100% 750 $10k (exactly $10,492) Lucky Kim, Emanuelle Heikens
《美少女旅馆:可爱即是正义,但正义需要处刑》 · EA $4.99 22 45% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) ZhiFeng
Doki Doki: School of Muscular Finance $19.99 4 25% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) The Thinker Cat, Plumko, WeissGarden, J… (The Thinker Cat, Plumko, WeissGarden, Just Kidding Entertainment)
Dirty Fantasy $0.99 16 50% 480 $475 (exactly $475) Fallen Pie
Mari's Magical Deliveries $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Crystal Game Works
Your Brother's Requiem $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) BeastCarving

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.