Do I ship it?

GamesTrading Card GameTrading Card Game + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Trading Card Game?

Trading Card Game + Mythology

Only 5 developers shipped a paid Mythological Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Witch and Council : The Card, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 19 more are announced, ×9.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $6.1k against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 9.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×9.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading Card Game + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Trading Card Game + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $4.3k (exactly $4,286)
Median $6.1k (exactly $6,110)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Top 5% $82k (exactly $81,845)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 32
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 59%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading Card Game
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Trading Card Game
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 4,252 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.3k, median $6.1k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $81k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.3k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  2. + SandboxFair17 devs · median $1.8k · 17 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  4. + Procedural GenerationPoor odds10 devs · median $10k · 26 announced
  5. + TradingPoor odds16 devs · median $10k · 36 announced
  6. + Life SimPoor odds18 devs · median $10k · 21 announced
  7. + CollectathonPoor odds26 devs · median $6.3k · 41 announced
  8. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $6.1k · 25 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds11 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  10. + Auto BattlerPoor odds22 devs · median $3.4k · 27 announced
  11. + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 38 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds13 devs · median $3.1k · 36 announced

All 69 pairs on the Trading Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Aces & Adventures older $19.99 2,220 89% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) Triple.B.Titles
12 Labours of Hercules II: The Cretan Bull older $2.99 1,736 90% 52k $156k (exactly $155,719) Jetdogs Studios, Zoom Out Games
Witch and Council : The Card $14.99 182 48% 5.5k $82k (exactly $81,845) G1 Playground
Areteion $19.99 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) juxtapositioned
Kamigami: Clash of the Gods older $19.99 12 75% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Dream Stories
Curtain Call: Chronicles of Heroes $5.99 34 67% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) Life Trust Foundation
Mind of War · EA $10.99 13 100% 390 $4.3k (exactly $4,286) Pi Video games
Taoism · EA older $5.99 21 61% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) 提拉米狐工作室
Mimir's Recruit older $1.99 15 86% 450 $896 (exactly $896) Raidho Game Studio
Dire - Flesh and Phobia · EA older $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) 2weak
Wanjie: Cycle of Oblivion $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) FAN XIAOBO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.