Do I ship it?

GamesTop-Down ShooterTop-Down Shooter + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Top-Down Shooter?

Top-Down Shooter + Mythology

Only 14 developers shipped a Mythological Top-Down Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Achilles: Survivor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×624 the market median. Revenue is up 110% on the market; 29 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 110% on the market, 29 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Top-Down Shooter + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $419 → $955
Outcomes for Top-Down Shooter + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 5% $392k (exactly $392,144)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 42
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 110% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Top-Down Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Isometric, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,553 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $840, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $390k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Top-Down Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + VampiresFair16 devs · median $3.7k · 10 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  3. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 15 announced
  4. + IdlerFair24 devs · median $748 · 30 announced
  5. + ArcheryFair9 devs · median $359 · 11 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 28 announced
  7. + Tactical RPGPoor odds12 devs · median $5.5k · 16 announced
  8. + Action RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + HistoricalPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 24 announced
  10. + ModernPoor odds13 devs · median $3.3k · 19 announced
  11. + CraftingPoor odds45 devs · median $3.1k · 125 announced
  12. + DystopianPoor odds24 devs · median $3.1k · 92 announced

All 150 pairs on the Top-Down Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Achilles: Survivor $8.99 1,454 81% 44k $392k (exactly $392,144) Dark Point Games
Journey to the West Survivor older $5.99 379 78% 11k $68k (exactly $68,106) Buding Games
Westale: Peelgrimage older $4.99 411 66% 12k $62k (exactly $61,527) 两把刷子工作室
Good Knight - One-Button Bullet-Hell · EA older $14.99 57 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Good Knight Collective
Slot Shots Pinball Ultimate Edition older $19.99 22 81% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) Pinblend Studios
Godsvivors older $4.99 87 83% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,024) Titan
白马非马 a white horse is not a horse · EA older $9.99 38 73% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) 卧熊工作室
REM: The Dreamer · EA $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Harmonia Games
SakuraSegment 0.3 - Prologue older $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Ulimworks
AHAPIKA – Heroic Agency · EA $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Pixeliantika
Nine Skies $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Ninefold
Loki's Revenge · EA $2.99 13 84% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) OWL
Wyrd Waters $1.99 16 100% 480 $955 (exactly $955) Maximalist
Santa's War on Christmas $13.99 2 50% 60 $839 (exactly $839) ElgSoft
Stopping Santa $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Hephaestus Games
一剑江湖 $1.99 9 44% 270 $537 (exactly $537) 春秋大梦工作室
Euclid's Inferno $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Adelpha Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.