Games › Swordplay › Swordplay + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery Swordplay game?
Swordplay + Mystery
Only 10 developers shipped a Mystery Swordplay game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Onimusha: Way of the Sword, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.3k against a market of $630. 43 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $836 (exactly $836) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 25% | $7.5k (exactly $7,541) |
| Top 5% | $24M (exactly $23,682,516) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Swordplay
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 88% positive over 12,878 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Swordplay with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Shoot 'Em UpLong shot
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + FightingPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Onimusha: Way of the Sword 2026 · $24M 
Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition 2025 · $1.8M 
Omensight: Definitive Edition 2018 · $704k 
Touken Ranbu Warriors 2022 · $355k 
1428: Shadows over Silesia 2022 · $121k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Onimusha: Way of the Sword | $69.99 | 11,279 89% | 338k | $24M (exactly $23,682,516) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Echoes of the End: Enhanced Edition | $39.99 | 1,484 78% | 45k | $1.8M (exactly $1,780,355) | Myrkur Games | |
| | Omensight: Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,174 88% | 35k | $704k (exactly $704,048) | Spearhead Games |
| | Touken Ranbu Warriors | older | $59.99 | 197 87% | 5.9k | $355k (exactly $354,541) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | 1428: Shadows over Silesia | older | $19.99 | 201 72% | 6.0k | $121k (exactly $120,540) | KUBI Games |
 | Wéko The Mask Gatherer | older | $19.99 | 49 85% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | SIRO GAMES Sarl |
 | Demons of Asteborg | older | $9.99 | 41 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $12,288) | Neofid Studios, Nindo |
 | Dark Sword: The Light of Ainn | $3.99 | 63 93% | 1.9k | $7.5k (exactly $7,541) | MrDoth | |
 | Ancient Mind | $11.99 | 20 70% | 600 | $7.2k (exactly $7,194) | HexagonNico | |
 | Drag'N Dungeon | $9.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Demon Girl | |
 | Luminous Plume | older | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | XenoHorizon |
 | RHYTHMIC | · EA | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Polar Studios Robin Kammel |
 | One True Path - Part 1 | $1.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | InnerspaceVR | |
 | Frog & Blade | $8.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | StarGazer | |
 | Blade And Dragon VR | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Fori Studio | |
 | Cryptoria | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | XnaxlZzz_Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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