Games › Sports › Sports + Music-Based Procedural Generation
Should I ship a Music-Based Procedural Generation Sports game?
Sports + Music-Based Procedural Generation
Only 4 developers shipped a Music-Based Procedural Generation Sports game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 10 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $630. 2 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,348) |
| Top 25% | $7.0k (exactly $7,016) |
| Top 5% | $25k (exactly $25,187) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 2 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $17.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Music-Based Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Music-Based Procedural Generation
- Price point
- $17.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 78,240 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 2 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Beat Saber 2019 · $42M 
EZ2ON REBOOT : R 2022 · $8.1M 
BOXVR 2019 · $1.4M 
PowerBeatsVR - VR Fitness 2020 · $272k 
Holodance 2020 · $121k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Beat Saber | older | $19.99 | 69,750 95% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $41,829,075) | Beat Games |
| | EZ2ON REBOOT : R | older | $44.99 | 5,972 91% | 179k | $8.1M (exactly $8,060,408) | Neonovice Co., Ltd., SQUARE PIXELS |
| | BOXVR | older | $29.99 | 1,512 79% | 45k | $1.4M (exactly $1,360,346) | FitXR |
| | PowerBeatsVR - VR Fitness | older | $19.99 | 453 85% | 14k | $272k (exactly $271,664) | Five Mind Creations |
| | Holodance | older | $19.99 | 201 85% | 6.0k | $121k (exactly $120,540) | narayana games UG |
 | SOUNDART | older | $19.99 | 57 75% | 1.7k | $34k (exactly $34,183) | MercuryStudio |
 | Dance Collider | older | $4.99 | 169 80% | 5.1k | $25k (exactly $25,299) | emergeWorlds |
 | Dance Eden | $19.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | DigiEden | |
 | GUN JAM | older | $19.99 | 37 40% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $22,189) | Jaw Drop |
 | Pulsen | · EA older | $9.99 | 47 74% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | 4-Panel Footprint |
 | Super Rhythm Fit | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | PandaCat Studio | |
 | Pitch Race Car Racing | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Web Ed Development Pty Ltd | |
 | Etude | $29.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Etude |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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