Do I ship it?

Games › Sports › Sports + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Sports game?

Sports + Multiple Endings

Of 33 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $930, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×134 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 40 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 40 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $539 → $449 → $17k → $1.8k → $3.4k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $932 (exactly $932)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,497)
Top 5% $84k (exactly $84,360)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 93
Announced 40
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 885 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $930, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $84k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Aokana - Four Rhythms Across the Blue 2019 · $5.3M Little Busters! English Edition 2017 · $1.2M Westview Academy - Season 1 2025 · $163k Rugby League Team Manager 3 2020 · $90k Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One 2025 · $84k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Aokana - Four Rhythms Across the Blue older $34.99 5,080 97% 152k $5.3M (exactly $5,332,476) sprite, NekoNyan Ltd.
Little Busters! English Edition older $34.99 1,097 97% 33k $1.2M (exactly $1,151,521) VisualArts/Key
Westview Academy - Season 1 $12.99 419 73% 13k $163k (exactly $163,284) TakoYuh
Rugby League Team Manager 3 older $39.99 75 80% 2.3k $90k (exactly $89,978) Alternative Software Ltd
Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One $13.99 201 90% 6.0k $84k (exactly $84,360) SeanchaiStudios
Sky Racket older $14.99 102 92% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) Double Dash Studios
Extra Coin $14.99 86 91% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) CINIC Games
BegieAde ~a lyric of lie and retribution~ older $13.99 65 63% 2.0k $27k (exactly $27,280) Planet Pandemic
Football Drama older $11.99 72 58% 2.2k $26k (exactly $25,898) Open Lab Games, Demigiant
Cherry Tree High Girls' Fight older $12.99 59 74% 1.8k $23k (exactly $22,992) 773
Primal Hearts 2 $24.99 23 95% 690 $17k (exactly $17,243) Marmalade
Regista: Reign Your Football Club $4.99 68 67% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) dicehit
Gridiron Masters '98 · EA $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Software98
SBcatfight game $12.99 12 91% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) DoNyan
good $7.99 19 100% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) zzox
Promo Wrestling World $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) DreamXscape Studios
GAME $6.99 20 95% 600 $4.2k (exactly $4,194) Joshua Roland

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.