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Should I ship a Physics Mystery Dungeon?
Physics + Mystery Dungeon
Of 22 developers who shipped a Physics Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $539 (exactly $539) |
| Top 25% | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 5% | $111k (exactly $110,741) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Mystery Dungeon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Dungeon Crawler
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,256 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + BasketballLong shot
Comparable games
Goblin Cleanup 2025 · EA · $969k 
Meowgic 2026 · $111k 
Forbidden Art 2024 · $43k 
Runehaven 2026 · $36k 
Naau: The Lost Eye 2021 · $21k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Goblin Cleanup | · EA | $19.99 | 1,615 87% | 48k | $969k (exactly $968,515) | Crisalu Games |
| | Meowgic | $7.99 | 462 79% | 14k | $111k (exactly $110,741) | Lazy Turtle Games | |
| | Forbidden Art | older | $14.99 | 96 91% | 2.9k | $43k (exactly $43,171) | AIXLAB |
| | Runehaven | $9.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $35,664) | Cikoria Studio | |
| | Naau: The Lost Eye | older | $24.99 | 28 67% | 840 | $21k (exactly $20,992) | Studio Gamebit |
 | Frame - Portals on Steroids | older | $16.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $17,840) | MechanicsDriven |
 | The Pinball Wizard | older | $7.99 | 56 67% | 1.7k | $13k (exactly $13,423) | Frosty Pop |
 | Stocksynd House | older | $7.99 | 53 83% | 1.6k | $13k (exactly $12,704) | CyberFlux Games, Gabro Media |
 | Dungeon Slime: Puzzle's Adventure | older | $1.99 | 105 94% | 3.2k | $6.3k (exactly $6,268) | Daniel Siqueira Abdelnur |
 | Super Geisha Neon | older | $8.99 | 19 84% | 570 | $5.1k (exactly $5,124) | HugePixel |
 | UnPlugged | $5.99 | 20 75% | 600 | $3.6k (exactly $3,594) | DemonLabs Interactive | |
 | Neon Sunset | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Oldest Golden Treasure | $14.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Vasil4N | |
 | Levitation Simulator 2 | $2.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $1.2k (exactly $1,166) | OZNA STUDIO | |
 | Sense of Darkness | $4.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Iurii Coseacov | |
 | Roxanne The Forgotten Path | $11.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Steven Meza, MarosGraphic 7 | |
 | OKIRO | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Ziya Gao, Songya Xu, Zhenxi Zhang, Tina… (Ziya Gao, Songya Xu, Zhenxi Zhang, Tina Yao) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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