Should I ship a Physics Golf game?
Golf + Physics
Of 55 developers who shipped a Physics Golf game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $990, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 59 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $987 (exactly $987) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) |
| Top 5% | $58k (exactly $58,487) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 55 |
| Released games | 155 |
| Announced | 59 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Golf, Physics; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Action
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Stylized
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 10,341 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. Nearly all of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Golf with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SimulationFair
- + PvPFair
- + AdventureFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + 3D PlatformerFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Local MultiplayerPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Mini GolfPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Golf With Your Friends | older | $14.99 | 50,748 88% | 1.5M | $23M (exactly $22,821,376) | Blacklight Interactive, Team17 |
| | Super Battle Golf | $12.99 | 9,325 93% | 280k | $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) | Brimstone | |
| | Walkabout Mini Golf VR | older | $24.99 | 3,094 97% | 93k | $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) | Mighty Coconut |
| | 4D Golf | older | $19.99 | 775 98% | 23k | $465k (exactly $464,767) | CodeParade |
| | All-In-One Sports VR | older | $19.99 | 700 84% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Appnori Inc. |
| | Cursed to Golf | older | $19.99 | 693 70% | 21k | $416k (exactly $415,592) | Chuhai Labs |
| | Golf Club Nostalgia | older | $9.99 | 1,183 83% | 35k | $355k (exactly $354,545) | Demagog Studio |
| | Disc Golf Masters | · EA | $24.99 | 427 83% | 13k | $320k (exactly $320,122) | Spinoff Games |
| | GolfTopia | older | $19.99 | 477 95% | 14k | $286k (exactly $286,057) | MinMax Games Ltd. |
| | Golf Around! | older | $9.99 | 823 94% | 25k | $247k (exactly $246,653) | Hough Studio |
| | Puttler | $7.99 | 244 95% | 7.3k | $58k (exactly $58,487) | Bean Juice Studios | |
| | Super 10 Pin | $11.99 | 92 98% | 2.8k | $33k (exactly $33,092) | Modus Interactive | |
| | Up to Par | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | It's Anecdotal | |
| | True Disc Golf | $24.99 | 32 90% | 960 | $24k (exactly $23,990) | Sportsmanlike Games | |
| | This Is Golf | $4.99 | 86 94% | 2.6k | $13k (exactly $12,874) | SaltySeedGames | |
| | An Other Golf Game | · EA | $6.99 | 46 86% | 1.4k | $9.6k (exactly $9,646) | waxycaps |
| | Golf Gambit | · EA | $9.99 | 28 85% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | KB Entertainment |
| | The Last Golfer | $19.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Karthik Subramanyam, Andrew Laing |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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