Do I ship it?

GamesSportsSports + Mini Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mini Golf Sports game?

Sports + Mini Golf

Of 35 developers who shipped a Mini Golf Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 50 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 50 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sports + Mini Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $657 → $2.4k → $2.2k → $1.0k → $719 → $958 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sports + Mini Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $836 (exactly $836)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,487)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 125
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sports, Mini Golf; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Golf, Physics, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 9,745 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $840, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + CraftingFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Strategy RPGFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  4. + SandboxFair83 devs · median $4.2k · 103 announced
  5. + Split ScreenFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + Dating SimFair29 devs · median $3.6k · 21 announced
  7. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $3.4k · 31 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair14 devs · median $3.4k · 13 announced
  9. + FMVFair17 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  10. + BikesFair25 devs · median $2.5k · 18 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair182 devs · median $2.4k · 185 announced
  12. + Choices MatterFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced

All 199 pairs on the Sports page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
Golf Around! older $9.99 823 94% 25k $247k (exactly $246,653) Hough Studio
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Golf Peaks older $4.99 1,076 95% 32k $161k (exactly $161,077) Afterburn
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Puttler $7.99 244 95% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,487) Bean Juice Studios
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Desktop Golf $3.99 30 96% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Cass and Kard
Putt in Parks $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) tinyaxe
Mulligans Golf Game · EA $12.49 8 100% 240 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Indie Andy Games
Disc Golf City $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Agapo Games
Golf Around 2 $7.99 12 41% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Hough Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.