Do I ship it?

GamesMini GolfMini Golf + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Mini Golf game?

Mini Golf + Puzzle Platformer

Only 6 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Mini Golf game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sling-A-Thing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $480. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 5 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mini Golf + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Mini Golf + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $4.3k (exactly $4,290)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 27
Announced 5
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mini Golf, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 4,567 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $540, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $4.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 5 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mini Golf with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AdventureFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  2. + PhysicsFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  3. + SimulationFair14 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  4. + ArcadeFair29 devs · median $719 · 35 announced
  5. + ActionPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 30 announced
  6. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds6 devs · median $3.0k · 13 announced
  7. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $2.9k · 26 announced
  8. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $959 · 15 announced
  9. + GolfPoor odds38 devs · median $958 · 60 announced
  10. + SportsPoor odds35 devs · median $836 · 50 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds13 devs · median $719 · 20 announced
  12. + StrategyDead8 devs · median $539 · 12 announced

All 12 pairs on the Mini Golf page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WHAT THE GOLF? older $19.99 4,324 93% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,593,103) Triband
Cheap Golf older $4.99 64 90% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) Pixeljam
Arcane Golf older $2.99 56 98% 1.7k $5.0k (exactly $5,023) FromLefcourt, thatgregperkins
Sling-A-Thing $5.50 26 100% 780 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) Navel
Grippy Golf older $11.99 10 100% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) Switchback Studio
Hole in the Clouds older $2.99 31 100% 930 $2.8k (exactly $2,781) Shortbread
Puzzling Peaks EXE older $2.99 22 100% 660 $2.0k (exactly $1,973) Darius Immanuel Guerrero
Pocket Mini Golf older $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Vivid Games
Joon Shining older $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Orchid of Redemption
Karen The Chicken older $2.99 17 100% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) HannaHannaGames
Roll'N With Da Punchez $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kamatayan Workz
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Melon Bounce $0.99 6 100% 180 $178 (exactly $178) Ransuz Studio
The Herd $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Levelhead Interactive
Mini Golf Simulator · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.