Do I ship it?

GamesGolfGolf + Mini Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mini Golf Golf game?

Golf + Mini Golf

Of 38 developers who shipped a Mini Golf Golf game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 60 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 60 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Golf + Mini Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $657 → $2.4k → $2.2k → $1.0k → $836 → $958 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Golf + Mini Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,487)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 128
Announced 60
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Golf
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Golf, Mini Golf; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Physics, Sports, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 9,778 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.0k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Golf with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationFair32 devs · median $1.4k · 29 announced
  2. + PvPFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  3. + AdventureFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  4. + Score AttackFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  5. + PhysicsFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  6. + ArcadeFair40 devs · median $719 · 46 announced
  7. + 3D PlatformerFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair16 devs · median $539 · 17 announced
  9. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  10. + ExplorationPoor odds14 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds14 devs · median $959 · 26 announced
  12. + SportsPoor odds67 devs · median $899 · 82 announced

All 18 pairs on the Golf page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
4D Golf older $19.99 775 98% 23k $465k (exactly $464,767) CodeParade
GolfTopia older $19.99 477 95% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) MinMax Games Ltd.
Golf Around! older $9.99 823 94% 25k $247k (exactly $246,653) Hough Studio
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Golf Peaks older $4.99 1,076 95% 32k $161k (exactly $161,077) Afterburn
Puttler $7.99 244 95% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,487) Bean Juice Studios
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
Putt Down $6.99 26 65% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Icehelm
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Desktop Golf $3.99 30 96% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Cass and Kard
Super Serious Golf $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Karnage Studios
Putt in Parks $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) tinyaxe
Golftacular! $5.99 17 94% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Both Good

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.