Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Mini Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Mini Golf game?

Local Multiplayer + Mini Golf

Only 6 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Mini Golf game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Up to Par, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $29k, ×62 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Mini Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $40k → $2.4k → $4.5k
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Mini Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,998)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $29,385)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 32
Announced 13
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer, Mini Golf
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 76,641 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.8k, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $3.0k, 1 in 20 over $29k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.8k. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Mad Tracks older $9.99 250 90% 7.5k $75k (exactly $74,925) Loadinc Entertainment
Infinite Minigolf older $14.99 113 72% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) Zen Studios
Dungeon Golf older $16.99 79 81% 2.4k $40k (exactly $40,266) Ant Workshop Ltd
3D Ultra™ Minigolf Adventures older $9.99 117 70% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Wanako Games
Vertiginous Golf older $9.99 113 62% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,866) Kinelco & Lone Elk Creative
Party Golf older $14.99 70 80% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Giant Margarita
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
Golftacular! $5.99 17 94% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Both Good
Mulligans Golf Game · EA $12.49 8 100% 240 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Indie Andy Games
ROGOLF $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Seabird Interactive
Disc Golf $6.99 13 84% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Charles De Yoe
Disco $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Aspect Digital Software Ltd

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.