Do I ship it?

GamesMini GolfMini Golf + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Mini Golf game?

Mini Golf + Puzzle

Only 14 developers shipped a Puzzle Mini Golf game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Puttler, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×123 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mini Golf + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $657 → $36k → $1.0k → $359 → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mini Golf + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,487)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 54
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mini Golf, Puzzle
Price point
$5.50 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 391 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mini Golf with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AdventureFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  2. + PhysicsFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  3. + SimulationFair14 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  4. + ArcadeFair29 devs · median $719 · 35 announced
  5. + ActionPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 30 announced
  6. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds6 devs · median $3.0k · 13 announced
  7. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $2.9k · 26 announced
  8. + GolfPoor odds38 devs · median $958 · 60 announced
  9. + SportsPoor odds35 devs · median $836 · 50 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationPoor odds13 devs · median $719 · 20 announced
  11. + StrategyDead8 devs · median $539 · 12 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerDead6 devs · median $539 · 5 announced

All 12 pairs on the Mini Golf page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
4D Golf older $19.99 775 98% 23k $465k (exactly $464,767) CodeParade
Golf Around! older $9.99 823 94% 25k $247k (exactly $246,653) Hough Studio
Golf Peaks older $4.99 1,076 95% 32k $161k (exactly $161,077) Afterburn
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Mini Golf Arena · EA older $8.99 385 51% 12k $104k (exactly $103,834) Evoluta Studio
Puttler $7.99 244 95% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,487) Bean Juice Studios
Pixel Golf Club older $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Galactic Geckon
Wonderputt Forever older $9.99 108 84% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,368) Damp Gnat
RPGolf Legends older $29.99 25 76% 750 $22k (exactly $22,492) ArticNet
Mini Mini Golf Golf $9.99 65 87% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) Three More Years
Sling-A-Thing $5.50 26 100% 780 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) Navel
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Putt in Parks $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) tinyaxe
Swingularity $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Team Redshift
Ping Pan $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Stonework Games LLC
Roll'N With Da Punchez $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Kamatayan Workz
Sycamore $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) [untitledDev]
Golfish $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Revulo Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.