Do I ship it?

GamesActionAction + Mini Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mini Golf Action game?

Action + Mini Golf

Only 18 developers shipped a Mini Golf Action game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower Unite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×5.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $9.7M, ×15505 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 30 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Mini Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $22k → $2.2k → $8.4k → $1.5k → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Mini Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,452)
Top 5% $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 55
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action, Mini Golf; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Golf, Physics, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, Colorful, Memes
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 25,786 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $9.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Tower Unite $19.99 16,237 89% 487k $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) PixelTail Games
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
WHAT THE GOLF? older $19.99 4,324 93% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,593,103) Triband
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Pixel Golf Club older $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Galactic Geckon
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
Putt Down $6.99 26 65% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Icehelm
PULLBACK RACERS $3.99 39 94% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) SkyBrave, blazitt, Gevizz
Sling-A-Thing $5.50 26 100% 780 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) Navel
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Super Serious Golf $4.99 22 100% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Karnage Studios
ROGOLF $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Seabird Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.