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Should I ship a Character Customization Mini Golf game?
Character Customization + Mini Golf
Only 13 developers shipped a Character Customization Mini Golf game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower Unite, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $9.7M, ×15505 the market median. Revenue is up 860% on the market; 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) |
| Top 5% | $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 860% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Mini Golf
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Character Customization, Mini Golf; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Golf
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 25,616 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Real-TimeStrong odds
- + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + BikesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + TypingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tower Unite | $19.99 | 16,237 89% | 487k | $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) | PixelTail Games | |
| | Super Battle Golf | $12.99 | 9,325 93% | 280k | $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) | Brimstone | |
| | Golf Around! | older | $9.99 | 823 94% | 25k | $247k (exactly $246,653) | Hough Studio |
| | Turbo Golf Racing | older | $9.99 | 635 85% | 19k | $190k (exactly $190,310) | Hugecalf Studios |
| | Golfie | older | $17.99 | 275 66% | 8.3k | $148k (exactly $148,418) | Triheart Studio |
| | Brendan Keogh's Putting Challenge | older | $5.99 | 30 96% | 900 | $5.4k (exactly $5,391) | Brendan Keogh |
| | Par for the Dungeon | older | $4.99 | 36 100% | 1.1k | $5.4k (exactly $5,389) | Sleeping Giant Games |
| | Super Serious Golf | $4.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Karnage Studios | |
| | Golf Guys | older | $4.99 | 20 80% | 600 | $3.0k (exactly $2,994) | VOODOO |
| | Golf Around 2 | $7.99 | 12 41% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Hough Studio | |
| | Swingularity | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Team Redshift | |
| | Ping Pan | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Stonework Games LLC | |
| | Bow Course - Archery Golf | · EA | $11.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Korpi Games Oy |
| | Left Fore Dead: Zombie Battle Golf | $7.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Maple Taco | |
| | Sycamore | $5.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | [untitledDev] | |
| | Clubbed | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Croissoft |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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