Do I ship it?

GamesMini GolfMini Golf + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Mini Golf game?

Mini Golf + Arcade

Of 29 developers who shipped an Arcade Mini Golf game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 35 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 35 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mini Golf + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $539 → $1.9k → $4.5k → $4.3k → $719 → $719 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mini Golf + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $29,385)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 80
Announced 35
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mini Golf, Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Physics, Golf
Price point
$5.50 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.50.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 16,430 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $29k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mini Golf with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AdventureFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  2. + PhysicsFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  3. + SimulationFair14 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  4. + ActionPoor odds18 devs · median $3.3k · 30 announced
  5. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds6 devs · median $3.0k · 13 announced
  6. + PvPPoor odds16 devs · median $2.9k · 26 announced
  7. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $959 · 15 announced
  8. + GolfPoor odds38 devs · median $958 · 60 announced
  9. + SportsPoor odds35 devs · median $836 · 50 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationPoor odds13 devs · median $719 · 20 announced
  11. + StrategyDead8 devs · median $539 · 12 announced
  12. + Puzzle PlatformerDead6 devs · median $539 · 5 announced

All 12 pairs on the Mini Golf page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tower Unite $19.99 16,237 89% 487k $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) PixelTail Games
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Turbo Golf Racing older $9.99 635 85% 19k $190k (exactly $190,310) Hugecalf Studios
Worms Crazy Golf older $9.99 407 82% 12k $122k (exactly $121,978) Team17 Digital Ltd
Mad Tracks older $9.99 250 90% 7.5k $75k (exactly $74,925) Loadinc Entertainment
Infinite Minigolf older $14.99 113 72% 3.4k $51k (exactly $50,816) Zen Studios
Pixel Golf Club older $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Galactic Geckon
Wonderputt Forever older $9.99 108 84% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,368) Damp Gnat
Party Golf older $14.99 70 80% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Giant Margarita
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
PULLBACK RACERS $3.99 39 94% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) SkyBrave, blazitt, Gevizz
Sling-A-Thing $5.50 26 100% 780 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) Navel
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave
Putt in Parks $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) tinyaxe
Mulligans Golf Game · EA $12.49 8 100% 240 $3.0k (exactly $2,998) Indie Andy Games
ROGOLF $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Seabird Interactive
Disc Golf City $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Agapo Games
Golf Around 2 $7.99 12 41% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Hough Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.