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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Sports game?
Sports + Martial Arts
Of 36 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×173 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $180 (exactly $180) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,346) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,395) |
| Top 5% | $109k (exactly $108,864) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 36 |
| Released games | 115 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Boxing, Action, Combat
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, 1980s
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 769 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
RUMBLE 2022 · EA · $2.4M 
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward 2023 · $2.3M 
Wrestling Empire 2021 · $1.8M 
Gym Simulator 24 2024 · $986k 
Waifu Fighter 2022 · $642k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | RUMBLE | · EA older | $24.99 | 3,158 87% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) | Buckethead Entertainment |
| | Punch Club 2: Fast Forward | older | $19.99 | 3,808 81% | 114k | $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) | Lazy Bear Games |
| | Wrestling Empire | older | $19.99 | 3,036 94% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) | MDickie |
| | Gym Simulator 24 | older | $12.99 | 2,531 84% | 76k | $986k (exactly $986,331) | Red Axe Games |
| | Waifu Fighter | older | $7.99 | 2,677 86% | 80k | $642k (exactly $641,677) | Happy Monster Studio |
 | Karate Master 2 Knock Down Blow | older | $9.99 | 718 86% | 22k | $215k (exactly $215,185) | Crian Soft |
 | Dragon Fist: VR Kung Fu | older | $19.99 | 305 95% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | Ben Olding Games |
 | Tactic Boxing | older | $9.99 | 416 77% | 12k | $125k (exactly $124,675) | Stately Eagle Games |
 | Baki Hanma: Blood Arena | $29.99 | 138 76% | 4.1k | $124k (exactly $124,159) | Purple Tree S R L | |
 | LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT | $29.99 | 121 85% | 3.6k | $109k (exactly $108,864) | Odders Lab | |
 | Something To Write About: Unbroken: Book One | $13.99 | 201 90% | 6.0k | $84k (exactly $84,360) | SeanchaiStudios | |
 | Boxing Simulator | $7.99 | 79 79% | 2.4k | $19k (exactly $18,936) | Inogames | |
 | Boxing School 2 | $14.99 | 41 80% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $18,438) | Raptor Claw Games | |
 | Corner King: Boxing Tycoon | $16.99 | 36 94% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $18,349) | Temporal Lure | |
 | UnderGirl: Submission Path | $7.99 | 72 73% | 2.2k | $17k (exactly $17,258) | KadoDev | |
 | Primal Hearts 2 | $24.99 | 23 95% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | Marmalade | |
 | The Last Ninja Collection + Bonus Games | $29.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $14k (exactly $14,395) | System 3 Software | |
 | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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