Should I ship a Magic Otome?
Otome + Magic
Only 15 developers shipped a Magic Otome in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sigh of the Abyss, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.6k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $88k, ×186 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.7k (exactly $1,704) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.6k (exactly $5,607) |
| Top 25% | $27k (exactly $26,618) |
| Top 5% | $89k (exactly $88,511) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 58 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Otome
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 482 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Otome with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + IncrementalStrong odds
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Interactive FictionPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Word GamePoor odds
- + MysteryPoor odds
Comparable games
OZMAFIA!! 2016 · $638k 
Hustle Cat 2016 · $613k 
Magical Diary: Horse Hall 2012 · $318k 
Bewitching Sinners 2024 · $277k 
Royal Alchemist 2020 · $176k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | OZMAFIA!! | older | $34.99 | 608 80% | 18k | $638k (exactly $638,218) | Poni-Pachet SY |
| | Hustle Cat | older | $19.99 | 1,023 94% | 31k | $613k (exactly $613,493) | Date Nighto |
| | Magical Diary: Horse Hall | older | $14.99 | 708 93% | 21k | $318k (exactly $318,388) | Hanako Games |
| | Bewitching Sinners | older | $17.99 | 513 94% | 15k | $277k (exactly $276,866) | Miss Xero |
| | Royal Alchemist | older | $19.99 | 294 92% | 8.8k | $176k (exactly $176,312) | Nifty Visuals |
 | Love Spell: Written In The Stars - a magical romantic-comedy otome | older | $18.99 | 201 94% | 6.0k | $115k (exactly $114,510) | Great Gretuski Studios |
 | When The Night Comes | older | $12.99 | 289 92% | 8.7k | $113k (exactly $112,623) | Lunaris Games |
 | Royal Order | older | $29.99 | 114 91% | 3.4k | $103k (exactly $102,566) | Nifty Visuals |
 | Sigh of the Abyss | $17.99 | 164 96% | 4.9k | $89k (exactly $88,511) | Rascal Devworks | |
 | Nova Hearts | $19.99 | 84 67% | 2.5k | $50k (exactly $50,375) | Lightbulb Crew | |
 | Genso Manège | $39.99 | 28 82% | 840 | $34k (exactly $33,592) | MAGES. Inc. | |
 | Alaris | $11.99 | 74 98% | 2.2k | $27k (exactly $26,618) | Crescence Studio | |
 | Legends of Savvarah: Children of the Sun | $7.99 | 75 92% | 2.3k | $18k (exactly $17,978) | ST Sinovar | |
 | Love & Legends | $29.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $9.9k (exactly $9,897) | UNICO INC. | |
 | Trap for the Heir | $8.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | MariLuzaria | |
 | Eternal Glory | · EA | $16.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $5.6k (exactly $5,607) | Nocturn |
 | Keepers of Astraela | $14.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | HMoon Publishing, Wrenna Stone | |
 | AI Games | $59.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $3.6k (exactly $3,599) | SUNYU Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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