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Should I ship a Logic Trading Card Game?
Trading Card Game + Logic
Only 12 developers shipped a Logic Trading Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ChronoBabes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $240 (exactly $240) |
| Top 25% | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
| Top 5% | $9.7k (exactly $9,696) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading Card Game
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Logic
- effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Trading Card Game, Logic
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 7 games average 79% positive over 123 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Auto BattlerPoor odds
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Zup! S 2018 · $906k 
Zup! 5 2017 · $171k 
Tinboy 2015 · $35k 
SEARCH ALL - ADULT 2021 · $15k 
Pythagoria 2016 · $14k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Zup! S | older | $1.99 | 15,168 96% | 455k | $906k (exactly $905,530) | Quiet River |
| | Zup! 5 | older | $1.99 | 2,856 93% | 86k | $171k (exactly $170,503) | Quiet River |
| | Tinboy | older | $4.99 | 231 64% | 6.9k | $35k (exactly $34,581) | Interactive Stone |
| | SEARCH ALL - ADULT | older | $9.99 | 49 67% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,685) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
| | Pythagoria | older | $1.99 | 233 73% | 7.0k | $14k (exactly $13,910) | Vladimir Maslov |
 | ChronoBabes | $3.99 | 81 80% | 2.4k | $9.7k (exactly $9,696) | Vinci | |
 | SEARCH ALL - FOXES | older | $2.99 | 107 92% | 3.2k | $9.6k (exactly $9,598) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
 | Musicmenia | $9.99 | 32 90% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | Symphonic Games | |
 | Animals Memory: Cats | older | $3.99 | 78 84% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
 | Kamigami: Clash of the Gods | older | $19.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Dream Stories |
 | Chalk & Blood | · EA | $8.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | BoiraTech |
 | Idle Rect | $7.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Lazy Idle Games | |
 | Girl Card Battle | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | SpaguettiGames | |
 | Card TD | · EA | $7.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Banished Crown Studios |
 | Insignis | $1.00 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Fallen Crown Studio | |
 | Mana Logic | · EA | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Heavenly Demon |
 | City: Battle Ground | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Redduckstudio | |
 | Side Hustle City | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Kian Productions |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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