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Should I ship a Logic Sports game?
Sports + Logic
Of 41 developers who shipped a Logic Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. Revenue is down 45% on the market, with 27 games announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 5% | $29k (exactly $29,192) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 41 |
| Released games | 157 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sports, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 698 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Sports with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dynamic NarrationStrong odds
- + CraftingFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + SandboxFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + FMVFair
- + BikesFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Choices MatterFair
Comparable games
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor 2020 · $1.1M 
Wordle 2021 · $1.1M 
Wordle 3 2020 · $560k 
Wordle 4 2020 · $386k 
Wordle 2 2020 · $362k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor | older | $19.99 | 1,758 78% | 53k | $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) | Stray Fawn Studio |
| | Wordle | older | $30.62 | 1,147 80% | 34k | $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) | PreoNus Games |
| | Wordle 3 | older | $30.62 | 610 78% | 18k | $560k (exactly $560,346) | PreoNus Games |
| | Wordle 4 | older | $30.62 | 420 76% | 13k | $386k (exactly $385,812) | PreoNus Games |
| | Wordle 2 | older | $30.62 | 394 61% | 12k | $362k (exactly $361,928) | PreoNus Games |
 | Wordle 5 | older | $30.62 | 242 73% | 7.3k | $222k (exactly $222,301) | PreoNus Games, Galina Kovaleva |
 | Master of Chess | $19.99 | 290 83% | 8.7k | $174k (exactly $173,913) | BRANE | |
 | Play with my balls | older | $29.99 | 92 89% | 2.8k | $83k (exactly $82,772) | Galactic Geckon |
 | Mosaics Galore | older | $14.99 | 111 75% | 3.3k | $50k (exactly $49,917) | Creobit |
 | Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc | older | $9.99 | 149 79% | 4.5k | $45k (exactly $44,655) | WINGED SAKURA GAMES |
 | Pup Champs | $12.99 | 101 98% | 3.0k | $39k (exactly $39,360) | Afterburn | |
 | Wet Passion | $4.99 | 195 81% | 5.9k | $29k (exactly $29,192) | FlirtFit Studios | |
 | Skullbreaker | $29.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $12k (exactly $11,696) | Sharkgame | |
 | Just Skill Shooter 4 | $9.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Color Madness | $9.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Magatch | $9.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames | |
 | The Armed Shadow | $9.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Restart Mode | $9.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Gamesforgames | |
 | My Bird | $9.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Gamesforgames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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