Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Robots

Only 15 developers shipped a Robot Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $17k, ×26 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $2.5M, ×3989 the market median. Revenue is up 3490% on the market; 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 26.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 3490% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $119 → $83k → $8.0k → $63k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $17k (exactly $16,521)
Top 25% $103k (exactly $102,981)
Top 5% $2.5M (exactly $2,504,974)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 50
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3490% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG; all of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 61% positive over 3,220 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $2.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  11. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced
  12. + Life SimPoor odds16 devs · median $7.7k · 26 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS older $59.99 6,939 82% 208k $12M (exactly $12,488,118) TOM CREATE, 株式会社トムクリエイト
Super Robot Wars 30 older $59.99 5,608 85% 168k $10M (exactly $10,092,718) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II $39.99 2,088 53% 63k $2.5M (exactly $2,504,974) Bulwark Studios
Miasma Chronicles older $34.99 2,013 79% 60k $2.1M (exactly $2,113,046) The Bearded Ladies
NITRO GEN OMEGA $29.99 398 83% 12k $358k (exactly $358,081) DESTINYbit
Wolfstride older $14.99 780 89% 23k $351k (exactly $350,766) OTA IMON Studios
Chaos Front $19.99 252 59% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Han Zhiyu
Colony City 27λ older $10.99 398 87% 12k $131k (exactly $131,221) Bunny Eats Tiger
Twilight Wars $14.99 229 74% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Comrade Bear Games
Relayer Advanced older $49.99 67 67% 2.0k $100k (exactly $100,480) DRAGAMI GAMES, LTD.
Cyber Tower 2048 $29.99 92 88% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) Galactic Geckon
STARBITES $49.99 42 64% 1.3k $63k (exactly $62,987) IKINAGAMES
Deep Fringe · EA $19.99 45 88% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Bosoneon Studio
Dissimilar $18.99 29 89% 870 $17k (exactly $16,521) Opal Grave Games
City of Springs $6.99 38 86% 1.1k $8.0k (exactly $7,969) The Naked Dev, Alterego Games
Hexitten $14.99 7 100% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Korkea Maki Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.